FedEx St. Jude Classic , TPC Southwind · Memphis, Tennessee
early odds on the exchanges
also see my 2012 US Open Betting Preview and Tips here
Zach Johnson 13/1
All eyes will be on Rory McIlroy 11/1 this week but I think Zach Johnson is a great shout both here in Memphis and next at the Olympic Club. Zach still continues to operate under the radar even though he won last time out at Colonial and also has two seconds in his last four starts. He ranks fourth in scrambling on the PGA Tour stats and seventh in strokes gained in putting. Finished under par in 32nd here last year but didn’t posses the formline he has right now.
JB Holmes 50/1
Big hitting JB Holmes recovered from a torrid time at The Players to post a tidy top 15 last week at Muirfield Village. That included a final round of 67 on one of the toughest tests on the PGA Tour and what a boost that should be coming into this week. Good each way value at 50/1. Don’t just believe Holmes is all about power, he has the touch of a surgeon at times.
David Toms 38/1
Top 15’s at Quail Hollow and Sawgrass were followed by an MC at Colonial for Toms. TPC Southwind has always rewarded greens in regulation merchants and great putters and Toms certainly fits that bill with three top 10’s in the last six years. His best finish here was in 2009 when a final round of 65 grabbed him a tie for second.
Brian Gay 65/1
There’s not too many courses that suit Brian Gay’s shorter game but TPC Southwind traditionally is one. The winner by a country mile here in 2009, Gay also has a fourth place finish in 2007. After a good fourth place in Texas, Gay has struggled to three missed cuts since sending his odds West. Bit of a long odds glory shot, but I thought I should tell you!
Brandt Snedeker 22/1
Sned pulled out just prior to his third round last week at Memorial citing a strained rib and remains a doubt coming into this week. If fully fit he has the game to contend at Southwind and has a best of tied fifth in 2007. Top 15’d again last year and worthy of note.
Best Of The Rest
2012 has been an absolute shocker for Robert Karlsson 40/1 but if there is anyone who deserves a bit of luck from a Tournament, it’s the Swede. He’s lost in playoffs here for the past two years, to Harrison Frazar and Lee Westwood.
There’s also a bit of value to be had in Graeme McDowell 24/1 who has changed his schedule around this year to include this event. For the past couple of years GMac has played in Wales before the US Open but skipped it this year. Played great golf at the Matchplay in Spain a few weeks back and if he can handle the soaring heat in Memphis could turn in a good performance.