2016 DP World Tour Championship Betting Preview And Tips

2016 DP World Tour Championship Betting Preview

November 17th – 20th, 2016
Jumeirah Golf Estates (Earth Course)
Dubai, United Arab Emirates
Par: 72 / Yardage: 7,675
Defending Champion: Rory McIlroy

2016 Tour Championship Betting Tips Video

Favourite Watch

This will be a short discussion!  Even with Henrik and Alex showing form nobody comes near Rors in the favourite watch at the almost unbackable odds of 10/3.  Defending champion, winner also in 2012 and in all six top fives from his last seven visits to the Earth Course.  T4 last time out at the HSBC Champions and winner of the PGA Tour Championship and Deutsche Bank before that.

My tip in the win only market is Andy Sullivan at 22/1.  Super impressive solo second to Rory in 2015, with a stats clip of T7 fairways, T8 greens, 3rd putting, and coming of the T3 in South Africa and solo second in Portugal he’s bang on form.

Doc’s Top Five Best Each Way Bets

Victor Dubuisson 90/1

I’m going straight in with Victor because I believe the bookies have made a big mistake with odds of 90/1.  Granted his form is patchy at best, maybe even threadbare, but Victor found it last week in South Africa and managed a T3 even with a 75 in round two.  That result was thanks to a 4th place in the greens in regulation stats; he was also T4 in GIR in Turkey the week before where he finished T47.  So it boils down to whether he can putt well on the Earth Course? A T2 in 2014 and solo third in 2013 says he can.  90/1 are crazy odds.

Branden Grace 18/1

Having found form with a T3 at The Nedbank you just know that Branden will hold it this week.  I’m a firm believer in players playing well at certain times of the year and Grace has won 10 times between November and February in his career including on this week in 2010 on the Sunshine Tour.  Solo third here last year and has three top-10’s in his last four starts at the Tour Championship.  Winner of the Heritage and in Qatar in 2016, I’m super solid on this tip.

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1

A final round 75, and slipping from second to ninth, on a course he knows so well must have been gut wrenching for Louis in Sun City but he can take huge encouragement from an iron performance that, if he brings it to Dubai this week, can reap huge dividends.  Three top sixes from his last five visits to the Tour Championship without ever really finding the measure of these greens.  Good each way shout.

Bernd Wiesberger 25/1

In my shortlist for European Tour player of the 2016 season and well capable of finishing it in style.  Bernd wisely took last week off (what were the Tour thinking bringing players from Turkey to South Africa to Dubai?) after a solo fourth in Turkey and arrives this week a lot fresher than many.  The Austrian’s formline of late has been more that of a racehorse with a solo second at the British Masters, T7 at The Dunhill, fifth at the European Open and second in Holland.  Has never really figured out the Earth Course in four previous visits but has never come here in this form either.

Francesco Molinari 28/1

Quiet composed and assured; there’s just so much to love about Francesco.  That win at home in Italy was a magic moment of 2016 and a T6 at the HSBC Champions last time out also impressed.  Fran’s yardage book from the Earth Course has all the right scribbles with three top six finishes since 2010 and I expect him to dunt it around here carefully again this week and onto a podium place.

Long Odds Glory Shots

Thorbjorn Olesen 100/1

After winning the Turkish Airlines Open out of the blue, Thorbjorn Olesen is available at odds of 100/1 this week.  He’s played this event five times and only ever been out of the top-20 once (and even that was a T21 in 2012) so I’ll take that 100/1!

Padraig Harrington 125/1

I bet the first man to tell you he’s delighted to be back at the Tour Championship for the first time since 2012 would be Padraig Harrington.  The Portugal Masters champion finished T4 here in 2009 and T9 in 2012 and next Saturday it will be 10 years to the day since Padraig beat Tiger Woods in a playoff at the Dunlop Phoenix Open!

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