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2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Betting Preview And Tips

July 25th – 28th, 2019
TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee
Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,244
Purse: $10.25 million with $1,845,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Justin Thomas


Doc's Top 5 Best Each Way Bets


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Justin Thomas 16/1


Again this week Rory, DJ and Brooks are listed at unbackable odds below 10/1 with the first smidgeon of value being Justin Thomas at 16/1.  A fruitful trip to Scotland and Ireland may just have reignited what hasn't been his best season to date and if he can get the clubs dry in time could be a factor here.  Debutant at Southwind but defending his WGC crown.

Tony Finau 33/1


It's totally against my normal process but I'm going to forget all the missed cuts and crappy stats and just look instead at Tony's 3rd place at The Open Championship last week; this guy has some serious game and that performance has to be confidence inspiring.  For all of us there he was clearly different gravy to the entire field in ball striking at Portrush, if there's enough adrenaline left, he'll be up there this week. 

Andrew Putnam 55/1


An impressive T4 in Scotland was followed by a T32 last week at The Open in Portrush for Andrew.  Lies 4th in Strokes Gained: Putting on the PGA Tour and finished solo 2nd at the 2018 St Jude Classic.  Good each way chances.

Chez Reavie 60/1


Missed his last two cuts at The Open and Rocket Mortgage Classic but Reavie remains an intriguing bet this week with his solid TPC Southwind record.  T6 and T4 in the last two stagings of the regular season St Jude Classic and a winner last month at The Travelers.  Avoiding the poor weather at the weekend of The Open may even prove important for Reavie this week.

Billy Horschel 66/1


Missed the cut at The Open but having a solid season on the PGA Tour.  A dogged competitor when in contention and loves this course with five top-10 finishes from his last 6 visits. 

Long Odds Glory Shots


Danny Willett 80/1: T6 at The Open and looking back to his best. T12 at the US Open, T8 in Canada shows his form on both sides of The Atlantic.

Keegan Bradley 125/1:  Hugely overpriced and capable of a big performance this week.  Recent best of T2 at The Travelers.

Phil Mickelson 100/1: Coming in off a terrible run of form but always contends at TPC Southwind; top-3 in his last six staging of the St Jude and never outside the top-12 in that time.

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This is just beautiful. Open Champion Shane Lowry went straight from Portrush to Dublin to celebrate with friends last night and ended up on Dawson Street singing The Fields Of Athenry.


Enjoy!



Vid tnx: Bernard Flynn i think!.


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The 148th Open was one that will never be forgotten. Played out on the island of Ireland for the first time since 1951 this edition had a little sprinkling of emerald magic. And of course it made perfect sense for the home player Shane Lowry to lift the Claret Jug.



What's In The Bag: 2019 Open Champion Shane Lowry





Driver: Srixon Z 585 (9.5 degrees) with a Mitsubishi Diamana D+ 70X shaft.
3-wood: TaylorMade M4 (15 degrees) with Graphite Design Tour AD DI-8X shaft.
Irons: Srixon Z U85 (2 [18 degrees], 3 [20 degrees]), Srixon Z 585 (4 [23 degrees], 5 [26 degrees]), Srixon Z 785 (6-PW) with Mitsubishi Tensei CK Pro White TX Hybrid (2), KBS Tour 130X (3-PW) shaft
Wedges: Cleveland RTX 4 (50 , 58 degrees) with KBS Tour Wedge X shafts
Putter: Odyssey Stroke Lab Exo 2-Ball (black version)
Ball: Srixon Z-Star XV Pure White

Stats Report

For the week Shane Lowry hit 35 fairways with his Srixon Z 585 driver and TaylorMade M4 fairway , T22 in the field and averaging 301.1 yards.  Key for the Offaly man was his irons, topping the greens in regulation stats with 57 total using a blend of Srixon Z U85, Z 585 and Z 785 irons. That set up a total of 23 birdies with his Odyssey Stroke Lab Exo 2-Ball putter versus 8 bogeys.  With the win Lowry also now secures his PGA Tour card for five years and 10 years on the European Tour.

Highlights



Reflections on the week

Royal Portrush was the star of the show.  Lumpy and tricky and twisty and turny, but fair. Framed with huge grandstands and 40,000 loud but knowledgeable fans it was a picture of joy.  And in good weather for three days the pros had their fun with birdies aplenty.  But they say a good links needs bad weather to test a player, so maybe it holds true that a great links needs terrible weather and that's what they got on Sunday!

As usual there were shocks.  A nervous Rory McIlroy "wanted it so bad" his championship fate was all but sealed after his very first hole.  Tiger Woods, broken and in pained body, bravely battled but bowed out early. And for Portrush's own, Darren Clarke, there was the calamity of the 36th hole which caused him to miss the cut so cruelly.

Controversy also reared its head when that awful habit some of the PGA Tour players have of not shouting FORE was finally confronted on the course by brave Bob MacIntyre who gave Kyle Stanley a piece of his mind.  The young Scot was the hero of the hour; did it fix the problem? Did it hell!

There were unconforming drivers. Xander Schauffele was named and shamed as wielding one. But as he highlighted in his defence this is a regular occurrence on Tour, which made no sense whatsoever, and the whole subject of CT numbers was quickly swept under the carpet.

Back on the course, Shane Lowry was having an outer body experience.  Bo his caddie might as well have been carrying a bookcase, because the Offaly man had a shot for every situation in his library.  After 54 holes his lead over Tommy Fleetwood was four shots with the rest of the field making up the numbers.

And what better player and gentleman to share your final round with for Shane Lowry than Tommy Fleetwood. Yes they were rivals, both desperately wanted to win, but friendship prevailed throughout.

And when the golf was done and the Claret Jug won, it was all about the people.  The crowds sung the entire family were on hand for hugs.  As were all his fellow players.  Back in Lowry's home course Esker Hills the party was just as joyous!

The 148th Open was one hell of a party.  And its only getting started!




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Man oh man what a day.  I think we were more worried about Shane Lowry's final round at The Open than he was himself!

Conditions were horrific......and ironically....that made everything just a little bit more manageable for Shane who grew up playing golf in weather that you wouldn't let your dog out for a piss in.



I loved the pic posted by Gary Murphy with Shane and the Claret Jug.



The funny video of Rory McIlroy and Shane's prep is also doing the rounds again. An oldie but goodie!


The walk up 18 was special.

And meeting family after was emotional.



And what about Shane's Dad, the legendary Offaly footballer Brendan Lowry holding aloft the trophy?



Well done to John McLoughlin of the North and West Coast Links Golf Travel company for successfully tipping Shane at odds of 45/1. Here's the moment.



Shane's home town in Offaly is called Clara. It didn't take long for this!


Laura Davies called Shane "British" yesterday. We had to nip that in the bud!


Jen Murphy's sketch was lovely too.


Overall what a week! One I will never forget. Thank you Shane, thank you Portrush. Tomorrow we dust ourselves off and go again!

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The final day of the greatest Open ever is here.

After 8 birdies and a round of 63 home favourite Shane Lowry has a massive four shot lead over Tommy Fleetwood. 16 under par after three rounds was unthinkable pre tournament.



Its not over yet mind. Winds will be up today and as we've seen many times anything is possible.

Challengers also include Justin Rose, Danny Willett, Lee Westwood Brooks Koepka, J.B. Holmes and Rickie Fowler.  Jon Rahm too you feel could mount a charge.



Shane tees off at 1.47pm today with Tommy Fleetwood.

Weather is set to be windy with lots of showers.





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Fair play to Bob MacIntyre who ripped into his playing partner Kyle Stanley, after he twice hit people in the crowd without shouting “Fore”.

The first incident on the 14th saw Stanley hit a marshal on the leg without warning.



Then again on the 17th, without shouting "Fore" Stanley's ball hit into the crowd.  This time the ball struck MacIntyre’s caddie Greg Milne’s mother, Stephanie.

That prompted MacIntyre to confront Stanley face to face. He told reporters after....

“My playing partner doesn’t shout ‘Fore’, his ball goes into the crowd, we’re shouting ‘Fore’ as the ball is coming into the crowd. He’s just standing watching it. And people didn’t have enough time to react when we shouted.
“It hit Greg’s mum. So I told him how it was. I said I wasn’t happy – and he didn’t really like my response. He’s the only one I’ve seen do that. It was straight into the crowd. It was into the crowd from the word go. And we’re expecting him to shout fore. She’s all right, I think, but it’s not what you want. “
“Shout ‘Fore’. That ball is going straight into the crowd, you know from the word go it’s going into the crowd. Just shout. We shouted, me and Beef as it was coming down.
“They don’t have time then. It’s too late and people are diving out of the way of things. They should have more time. It’s on the [player information] sheets, it’s on everything, you shout ‘Fore’.”







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I've been out and about at The Open in Royal Portrush over the past few days and it has been unreal.

The course is amazing, the internal out of bounds should not be an issue for the best players in the world; this is a Major, and neither Rory nor any other player hitting an iron or hybrid off the first can blame them for problems.

As for Tiger, he's been walking like a man in pain all week. And its a bad sign when a man has to sit on the ground to tie his shoelaces.



Yesterday I spent the day watching Brooks with Bob and Sherry Koepka. Facebook friends for years it was great to meet Bob and we hit it off straight away with plenty of banter!



Caught up to with Chris Dunbar and friends in Rathmore Golf Club beside Portrush. Seven years on since the 2012 Irish Open, we recreated our picture! Super people.






I also spent time with the Mizuno Truck team and saw the new copper underlay on the MP 20 iron.


Great guys.
My playing partners yesterday were the McLoughlin family. John senior and junior, James and Teresa.

Met this guy too. Does impressions. Living the dream Conor!

And we are glad that the pros are enjoying the layout in Portrush after we validated the changes!



Loving The Open and I'll report again later.


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The 2019 Open Championship Long Odds Betting Tips

July 18th – 21st, 2019
Royal Portrush Golf Club, Portrush, Northern Ireland
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,344
Purse: $10.75 million with $1,935,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Francesco Molinari
 

In this post I'm picking my top five long odds bets for the 2019 Open Championship. Make sure to check out my main 2019 Open Championship Betting Post here.



Now before we get started, a big shout out to our Open Championship video sponsors North and West Coast Links.  If you're coming to Ireland and want a itinerary to include all the top links courses like Open Royal Portrush, here at Portstewart, Ballyliffin and many more great courses, the guys at Northandwestcoastlinks.com are the best in the business and look after absolutely everything. Check them out.

Doc's Top 5 Long Odds Only Betting Tips






Rafa Cabrera Bello 66/1




 The Spaniard comes here smiling after a T9 in Scotland, T4 in Ireland and T3 at the BMW International in Germany.  That's down to a marked improvement in his driving accuracy and putting, the two key stats needed to win in Portrush.  Add to that he was T2 behind Jamie Donaldson at the 2012 Irish Open in Portrush and there's a good case to be made for Rafa.

Eddie Pepperell 70/1


Eddie Pepperell comes into his third Open in fine form after a T4 at the Irish Open and T2 at the British Masters both on links.  T6 last year in Carnoustie and as his twitter followers will attest to Eddie has the character not to let the enormity of the occasion get to him too much. 66/1 are great odds.

Thorbjorn Olesen 100/1


I remember Thorbjorn Olesen shooting a 66 in a storm on the Saturday of the 2012 Irish Open at Royal Portrush and its confidence inspiring memories like those that drive guys like Thorbjorn on.  An impressive T12 at the 2018 Open Championship and if he can find the fairways this week has each way chances with bookies paying up to top 8 after good showings in Ireland and Germany.

Erik Van Rooyen 100/1


I've been flying the flag for Erik for the past few weeks and while he's had flashes of brilliance he just hasn't he the highs. Yet.  T17 at last years Open where he hit more fairways than anyone in the field and given the experience he has gained since then, he can contend here.

Chez Reavie 150/1


What about a lefty at 150/1? Chez Reavie scored a brilliant T3 at the US Open then went on to win at The Travelers by a country mile.  Key to his game is incredible accuracy off the tee and I'm betting he'll surprise you this week.


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The 2019 Open Championship Betting Preview and Tips

July 18th – 21st, 2019
Royal Portrush Golf Club, Portrush, Northern Ireland
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,344
Purse: $10.75 million with $1,935,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Francesco Molinari

Make sure to also check out my Long Odds Only 2019 Open Championship Betting Post here.



Now before we get started, a big shout out to our Open Championship video sponsors North and West Coast Links.  If you're coming to Ireland and want a itinerary to include all the top links courses like Open Royal Portrush, here at Portstewart, Ballyliffin and many more great courses, the guys at Northandwestcoastlinks.com are the best in the business and look after absolutely everything. Check them out.

2019 Open Championship Betting Preview And Tips Video






Favourite Discussion- Win Only Market



Both Rory McIlroy 8/1 and  Brooks Koepka 9/1 starts below my 10/1 cut off point for a sensible pre-tournament bet but I see Jon Rahm still out there at a tempting 14/1 and 16/1.  Questions still linger as to whether he has the patience to win an Open Championship, and it will be tested here, but then again you look at 10 top-10's this season, including a T9 at The Masters and T3 at the US Open and that win in Lahinch where he was also 4th in driving accuracy, winning here in Portstewart in 2017 and you have to fancy him at those odds.

Doc's Top 5 Best Each Way Bets At The 2019 Open


As always I'm looking for guys that represent good each way value, and the bookies will be all fighting for your money and paying extra places this week. We had  Bernd Wiesberger winning for us at 40/1 last week in Scotland so lets hope we can keep the run going. I'm taking all my odds from the Oddschecker comparison page.

Justin Rose 22/1


You just cannot leave Rosey off your betslip. After his close shave with the Claret Jug in 2018 he'll be keen to get himself high on the leaderboard this year.  He's been here early, with Gareth Lord who won with Henrik in 2016 and comes in with five top-10's from 12 starts this season, a win at The Farmers and T3 at the US Open.  My only concern if that he needs a good driving week.

Xander Schauffele 25/1


Brooks Koepka used be guy who flew under the radar with the bookies but that day is well and truly gone and maybe now Xander Schauffele is that guy at 22/1.  This guy has the head for Majors.  We've seen already this year a T2 at the  Masters, T16 at the PGA, and T3 at the US Open and after endearing himself to the crowd with his T2 at Carnoustie last year you have to fancy him to contend again.  A prodigious hitter for a small guy he sits 13th in strokes gained off the tee; if he hits the fairways here he has the iron game to contend.

Henrik Stenson 28/1


After a lean spell earlier in the season Henrik kindof found his stride again at the Canadian Open with a T8 finish and kicked on from there with a T9 at the US Open.  Key to both those performances was leading the field in driving accuracy and if there is one thing that everyone inside the ropes is talking about this week in Portrush is the importance of putting the ball in the fairway. It's almost claustrophobic here with the crowds on top of the players. The greens were slow in Troon when Henrik won in 2016, and if conditions are soft, and the expected rain comes, he has a genuine chance of a place.  T4 last week in Scotland too was a nice warm up.

Adam Scott 25/1


Adam Scott has practised and prepared pretty much more than anyone for this Open; he's been around for over a week now, on the course, learning it from Darren Clarke and learning to drink Guinness down in the Harbour Bar in the evenings.  Scott hasn't missed an Open cut since 2009, he's been top-10 in four of his last seven and comes in with top-10's at the US Open and PGA Championship.  This is a ball strikers course, you have to work the ball both ways, Adam Scott can do that and if the greens play soft and slow, it lessons the impact of his perceived weakness….putting.. And he can contend.

Matt Kuchar 28/1


Never a glamorous tip but amidst all the madness that always ensues Kuch will be there quietly plugging away and creeping up the leaderboard. T9 last year in Carnousite, solo 2nd in Birkdale and if he is to win a Major you feel The Open could be his best shot.  We just need him to be top 5,6 or 7 to pay out and with six top-20 finishes coming in, he's a solid pick.

So there they are my 5 tips, I hope this all helps you to beat the bookies at The Open, and remember to  also check out my a second 2019 Odds long odds only tips video and post with guys 50/1 and over GolfcentralDaily.com. Thanks again to my Open video sponsor NorthandWestCoastLinks.com, and also my site sponsors Bushnell, ClubstoHire.
Best of luck everyone. Fingers crossed for a winner. I'm off over there to watch The Open!

LONG ODDS Shots Video





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Great win by Bernd Wiesberger at the weekend and I tipped him at 40/1 in my Scottish Open tips last week.



I met his caddie Jamie Lane in Ireland the week before and he felt a second win of the Summer was coming.

Moving on to the Open Championship, I'm travelling to Royal Portrush today to get the lie of the land and hope to publish my tips on Tuesday.


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I posted this interview given by winning disability golfer Brendan Lawlor at the Scottish Open and it was very warmly received.

The Dundalk Golf member had just won the EDGA Scottish Open was played at The Renaissance Club alongside the main Scottish Open on the European Tour.

Lawlor carded a level par 71 to beat World Number One George Groves by a shot.



The eloquence of Lawlor, who spoke to Nick Dougherty after, is inspiring.





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Tiger Woods may not have played any golf whatsoever in the lead up to next week's Open Championship but as ever he's leaving absolutely no stone unturned in his preparation.

For the past six weeks Woods has been waking at 1am and travelling to the local Supermax prison to take ice cold showers with the inmates.



Speaking after emerging from Block 2 of Coleman Supermax Penitentiary this morning Woods told reporters,
"That was really really tough. The freezing cold water is really really helping me prepare for the shitty weather in Ireland. And the knowledge that if my soap slips there could be trouble is really really helping my nerves. It's a lotta fun in there."

Woods plans to travel to Portrush next Thursday after dropping the kids to school and collecting the dog from the vets.

More as it emerges.

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Matt Kuchar said he was "honoured and humbled" by the offer to lead a big local parade celebrating Rickie Fowler in the town of Portrush on the Saturday evening of The Open Championship.




"These guys in funny hats came to me and said they are massive Rickie fans and they just golly gosh darn it wanted to have a bold 'ole parade to celebrate him right outside the golf course in Portrush on the evening of the 12th of July," said Kuchar. "And when the offered me $5,000 bucks for an hour to lead it, of course I said I was honoured and humbled and want it in cash before I start."

"It's a massive boost to have such a universally loved and popular figure such as Kuch to lead our Rickie Fowler parade," said Rickie Fowler Wears Orange Lodge leader Jim Bowls.

"We have several cool bands lined up along a lets just call it 'mobile route' including the Rickie Fowler William King Memorial band, the  Derryloran Rickie Fowler Boyne Defenders, Ballykeel Loyal Rickie Flower Sons of Ulster and the Moneyslane Rickie Fowler's Flute Band," continued Bowls.  "Then for a bit of fun we're going to have Kuch reinact that little stand off and clash he had with his Mayakoba caddie with the help of the local PSNI. It's going to be great fun!"

Following the parade Kuchar will then attend a special Climate Change Ceremony in Belfast where he will throw the first petrol bomb onto a big stack of pallets then overturn some cars to mark the world's anger at the lack of action on carbon emissions.

More as it emerges.

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In case you you never heard of Bob Menery he's adds absolutely brilliant uncensored commentary to sports clips.

And now the PGA Tour are trying to silence him.



The Tour had an issue with Menery voicing over Matthew Wolff's winning putt last weekend.

Luckily a fan also at the event captured the winning put and Menery went to work on it, leaving a message for the PGA Tour while he was at it!




The PGA Tour messaged Menery on Twitter to say "We will issue a takedown on this video by this evening if we don't hear back from you."



Well done Bob, keep fighting the good fight. I get these notices every week.

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2019 Scottish Open Betting Preview And Tips

July 11th – 14th, 2019
The Renaissance Club, North Berwick, Scotland
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,136
Purse: $7 million with $1,154,413 to the winner
Defending Champion: Brandon Stone


It's the week before The Open Championship and you pretty much know that some of the big guns will use the week to practice and tweak their games while those seeking the last few spots in the Portrush field will be grinding hard.  It's also a new venue this week so that adds to the complexity of the equation. Rors starts favourite at the ridiculous odds of 6/1.



Doc's Top Five Best Scottish Open Each way Bets


Martin Kaymer 33/1


Martin Kaymer is one of the top order players yet to claim a place in the field at The Open and is overpriced at 33/1.  Winner 10 years ago in Scotland and enjoying a return to form of late with a T8 in the British Masters, solo third at The Memorial, T16 in Germany and T9 in Ireland last week.  Says himself he's playing three good rounds from four and if he can fix that here he'll be right in the mix this week.

Bernd Wiesberger 40/1

Burned Cheeseburger. Close enough

Spoke to his caddie Jamie last week and everything is rosy in the garden for team Wiesberger right now.  The injury that plagued the Austrian last year is now a memory and he's come back to win in Denmark, score a T16 in Germany and T2 in Lahinch last week.  Historically hasn't played well in Scotland, but in the form to contend.

Andy Sullivan 45/1


The time Andy won the trip into space!

Improving in form through Germany (T26), Spain (T13) and Ireland (T2) where he showed superb consistency shooting 68, 66, 66, 66.  Two top-10 finishes from his last three visits to Scotland and a win has to be coming soon for Andy.

Eddie Pepperell 30/1


His dog may have none but Eddie Pepperell is showing balls of steel on the links right now.  T2 at Hillside last month was followed with another solid T4 in Lahinch demonstrating the advantage his quality ballstriking has on links. Solo second last year behind runaway winner Brandon Stone at Gullane and in-form to contend again.

Jorge Campillo 55/1


Sticking with Jorge after a T7 finish at the Irish Open where he hit 58 greens in regulation, 3rd in the field.  Four top-3 finishes including a win in Morocco and nine top-20 finishes so far this season is a mighty haul for the stealthy Spaniard.

Long Odds Glory Shots


Gavin Green 90/1


Super odds each way on Gavin Green this week at 90/1. Brilliant form the past fortnight in Spain and Ireland and one those fighting for an Open spot.

Paul Waring 100/1


Watched a lot of Paul last week in Ireland where he scored another top 10 on links after Hillside last month.  He's also in the field for The Open.  Super impressive and could score a place.

Grant Forrest 150/1


Fought back after a poor first round  to finish 14th in Ireland and one to watch this week for a top-10.

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