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Everyone is super psyched about next week's Ryder Cup, especially me as a tipster from a betting standpoint.

Currently USA are favourites at 1.8/1 with Europe at 2.37/1 with a whole myriad of match betting yet to emerge when the pairings are announced.



I'm intrigued as the how important a role stats will play in the matches and already it seems that according to historical numbers, that both Captains missed the chance to get one up on the other by wrongly choosing experienced players as their wildcard picks.

I came across this excellent piece by Jack Green going through the numbers.

Recent history would suggest, however, that the captain has made a mistake by not finding room for an in-form rookie.

Of Europe’s four most successful sets of wildcards, three had a player making his Ryder Cup debut.

That five rookies already occupy automatic places could explain Bjorn’s decision not to take another, but the 2016 Ryder Cup proved that inexperience is not a good enough reason to leave out a young golfer in fine form.

At Hazeltine, Darren Clarke selected rookie Thomas Pieters, and the Belgian top-scored with four points from five matches.

Rafael Cabrera-Bello, another rookie who had earned his place automatically, delivered two wins and a half from his three matches.

Meanwhile, Clarke’s other picks – veterans Lee Westwood and Martin Kaymer – earned just one point from a possible seven between them.

Bjorn should have taken a risk this time around and given Matt Wallace a chance.

The 28-year-old’s Made in Denmark victory was his third of the season on the European Tour, and August winners have a fine track record at the Ryder Cup.

In 2016, for example, Pieters triumphed in Denmark two days before he was included in Clarke’s wildcard picks, and was Europe’s best player at Hazeltine.

Clarke controversially left out Russell Knox, who had just won the Travelers Championship and climbed into the world top 20, in favour of Westwood, who failed to score a point.

Here's an infographic to back it up.



media





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Since being uploaded by an anonymous person to the adult content site PornHub yesterday, the video of Bryson DeChambeau spritzing his balls on the range, to simulate dewy morning conditions, has become the most watched, GCD understands.



With over 23 million hits the video tagged as "hardcore" and "outdoors" has achieved a satisfaction rating of 100% to date.

Meanwhile the the porn actors union of America have expressed concern at the video after it emerged that DeChambeau is not officially licensed by the porn actors guild and have asked that the video should also be tagged as "amateur."


More as it emerges.




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The first powerful storm of the season to hit Ireland and the UK, named Storm Ali, also took its toll on the Dunhill Links Championship preparations as this video shows.



What looks like the Media Centre is picked up and destroyed by the winds.




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Very very sad news from Iowa in the USA on the death of Spanish golfer Celia Barquin Arozamena, found murdered on a golf course.


The alarm was raised after Arozamena's golf bag was found out on the course at Coldwater Golf Links in Ames, Iowa.

According to a police statement the 22 year old  “had been assaulted and died as a result.”

A short time later a suspect, Colin Daniel Richards, also 22, was charge with murder.



Barquin Arozamena , from Puente San Miguel in Spain, was a very well known and successful amateur. She won the European Ladies' Amateur championship in July along with multiple wins and honours at Iowa State University.  She held the the leading score average ever at the University and competed in the US Open.

May she rest in peace.







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A nice way to keep sharp during those wet Winter months that lie ahead.  All you need is a ball and ample help from your girlfriend. 





I'm going to ask my wife can we do this. Oh wait.....it wont work!


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2018 Tour Championship Betting Preview And Tips

Sept. 20th – 23rd, 2018
East Lake G.C., Atlanta, Georgia.
Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,346
Purse: $9 million with $1,620,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Xander Schauffele


Favourite Watch


Betting win-only for me is a strategy to be strictly avoided pre tournament with Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose and Dustin Johnson all starting inside the magic 10/1 odds. Justin Thomas looks the best bet in a congested favourites market at 12/1.  He was 2nd and T6 in his two visits to the Finale and comes in off a T12 at the BMW Championship.

Doc's Top 3 Best Each Way Bets


Francesco Molinari 25/1


Cream rises to the top and though he's a debutant at East Lake, I think Francesco Molinari has been the player of the year and will thrive in the test.  Winner of The Open, the Quicken Loans and the BMW PGA already this year Fran looked super sharp last time out with a T8 at the BMW Championship built off a T2 Greens in Regulation clip. Has to be on your betslip.

Billy Horschel 28/1


Super odds of 28/1 with all the Major bookmakers for Billy because they don't believe lightning strikes twice.  By that I'm referring to Billy's shock win on his last visit to the Tour Championship in 2014.  But after a run in including a T11 at the Wyndham, T3 at the Northern Trust and T3 at the BMW Championship I think a podium finish is on.  It's all on the back of mind-blowingly consistent greens in regulation stats in his last four starts.  Storm clouds are gathering!

Xander Schauffele 33/1


Where better for Xander 'jilted for the Ryder Cup' Schauffele to make a final point than here at the Tour Championship where he won on his debut in 2017.  T2 at The Players and The Open this year and started with 63, 64 on his way to a T3 at the BMW Championship last time out. It wasn't enough to stop Jim Furyk picking Tony Finau but surely given the good grace with which Schauffele conducted himself at the Open he'll be putting his disappointment to one side and be up for this.

Long Odds Glory Shot


Bubba Watson 50/1


Back at the Tour Championship after missing out last year and Bubba is grinding to find form again ahead of the Ryder Cup. Winner of the Travelers this season he's looked sharp again of late with a T7 at the Dell and T16 at the BMW Championship.  Has three top-10's from his last four starts at East Lake without ever really cracking the code. Could deliver a place.


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Scottish caddie Craig 'Weeman' Connolly has been forced to let Martin Kaymer go as preparations for a Hard Brexit continue on the final days of the European Tour.



Last week European Tour bosses in Surrey announced that, pending no breakthrough in Brussels talks, from March 29th 2019 all European players will be banned from the European Tour which will change its name to the Great British Tour.

"Martin has been a good servant over the years and a fine companion but with a No Deal Brexit on the horizon and just 196 days left until the deadline, as a British citizen, I just cant take a chance on employing a European while an undefined deal is being negotiated by the unprepared in order to get the unspecified for the uninformed," Connolly told reporters. "Plus he's playing shite."

More as it emerges.


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I'm the last one qualified to criticise or be a moral custodian after some of the garbage I've posted over the years but on a serious note, I have to say I find it pretty bad form for Phil Mickelson to post on Twitter an instructional video on how to fire a sniper rifle within the context of this year's Ryder Cup.



Guns and golf and the Ryder Cup. Three things I didn't think I'd ever see in a post by a top player.
Is this a good advert for kids? Is it part of growing the game? Are the Ryder Cup officials happy with this.

Here in Ireland, neither the public or the police carry guns. Any guns are licensed for sporting or farm use, and memories of war up North as a kid still affect most of our attitudes to guns.

But I'm reading that over 10,200 people have been killed in gun related incidents in the USA so far in 2018.  So maybe its not good to firing a sniper rifle Phil in this context.

Also, and something that really cuts deep with us in Europe, is that the Ryder Cup is to be staged in Paris, where just three years ago, 130 people were massacred in terror attacks, 90 inside the Bataclan Theatre.  So again maybe its not good to firing a sniper rifle Phil.





I'm just really hoping Phil did not realise or was not aware of the implications of posting the video.

In case he removes it, here it is on Facebook.



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2018 KLM Open Betting Tips

Sept 13th – 16th, 2018
The Dutch, Spijk, The Netherlands
Par: 71 / Yardage: 6,983
Defending Champion: Romain Wattel


Doc's Top 5 Best Each Way Bets


Lee Westwood 18/1


Comes to The Dutch off a T12 in Switzerland and T2 in Denmark where brilliant irons have been the highlight of the last fortnight.  Putting continues to be Lee's Achilles heel but a T3 on this course last year as part of 5 top-10's from 10 appearances in the event say he's a good each way shout this week.

Nacho Elvira 40/1


Played twice on the course with no form but impressive greens in regulation and putting stats combined have seen him build in form from a T24 at the Nordea Masters to a T18 in the Czech Open and solo 4th last week in Crans-Sur-Sierre. I cant ignore the trend so Nacho makes my five.

Jaokim Lagergren 50/1

Lager. Close enough.

I've a soft spot for Joakim after watching World Cup soccer in Ballyliffin with him this Summer. A winner on Tour this year in Sicily, things went somewhat awry in the final group on Sunday in Ireland where he slipped from 2nd to T12.  Having only played this event twice he only knows The Dutch as the venue and improved from T20 in 2016 to a T9 last year.  I'm sure he'll be eyeing this week up for a tilt at the title.

Phachara Khongmatwai 66/1


Having seen his Kiradech Aphibarnrat become a global star Phachara is rapidly becoming the next great Thai golfer on the European Tour. At just 19 years old he has impressed greatly of late with a magic putter that has yielded a T9 in the Czech Republic, T12 in Denmark and a T8 in Switzerland last week.  A debutant on the course but it should suit him.

Mike Lorenzo Vera 28/1


(in field at time of writing)
Poor old Mike looks like he has the weight of the world on his shoulders out there and he came agonisingly close in Crans last week before finding the water on the last and settling for 3rd.  Stats wise for irons and putting combined the Frenchman was head and shoulders above anyone and given that he was T8 here in 2016 he'll be looking forward to the week.

Long Odds Shots


Speaking of non smilers Scotty Hend will blast everything a mile off the see and see what happens but something tells me he'll have a good week from 100/1 . He knows the course, has a T4 from 2016 and will do it all his own way.

Rob Taylor's Picks

With guest twitter punter @RobTaylorSport
With a links feel where Strokes Gained Approach and Tee to Green should be prominent factors, I have three picks this week.

Pick 1: Erik Van Rooyen 40/1
Pick 2: Ryan Fox 25/1
Pick 3: Pablo Larrazabal 100/1


At the top of the market I fancy Erik Van Rooyen at 40/1 and Ryan Fox 25/1 to go well. Both have decent records on recent Links tracks and have the stats to match.
Van Royen was T4 at the Irish Open, T17 at The Open and 5th two weeks ago in Denmark. All this whilst being 6th in GIR and 19th in Strokes Gained Approach; he could finally break his duck.

Ryan Fox has finished 2nd at the Irish Open and T6th at the Scottish Open over the summer, along with his 6th in Strokes Gained Tee to Green, he is one I fancy to go well on this Dutch track.

At a bigger price, Pablo Larrazabel at an early 100/1 caught the eye. Returned to action with a T16 last week after a spell out, citing his game was in good shape, and has a T20 at this event in 2016.



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Geoff Shackelford had an interesting piece on driving distance gains this morning where for the first time ever the number of Tour Pros "averaging" 295 yards or more from the tee has passed 100.

Whether it be advances in physical fitness and strength or a rampant free for all by the equipment companies, golf has truly become a game of wham bam thank you mam rather than one of skill and accuracy.

According to the piece the PGA Tour driving distance average in 2002 was 279.84 yards.
In 2018 the PGA Tour driving distance average is at 296.0 yards.

Rory McIlroy can become the first play ever to average 320.0 yards for a season if he maintains his current distance at the Tour Championship at East Lake. The previous record is 317.7 yards set by Dustin Johnson.




Perhaps the most stark indication of distance gain is this. From 49 players averaging 295 yards in 2014 to 108 averaging 295 yards in 2018.

2013-14
 Honda:  45 players averaging 295 or higher
 End of season:  49 averaging 295 or higher

2014-15
 Honda:  50 players averaging 295 or higher
 End of season:  53 averaging 295 or higher

2015-16
 Honda:  65 players averaging 295 or higher
 End of season:  55 averaging 295 or higher

2016-17
 Honda:  63 players averaging 295 or higher
 End of season:  77 averaging 295 or higher

2017-18
 Honda:  111 players averaging 295 or higher
 Heading to the last tournament:  108 averaging 295 or higher

And it shows no sign of ending.


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Planning a trip to the US and want to make the most of your travel time! Visit the unique and gorgeous states of Florida, California, and Arizona, and discover the breathtaking vistas, beautiful natural attractions, and plentiful fun and exciting things to do.


These three states hold a special attraction for golf enthusiasts, as they are home to the most and many of the best golf experiences in North America. Make yours a golf vacation when you book lodging at a popular luxury golf resort, take lessons with a PGA or LPGA instructor, and improve on your technique.

Off the green, you can relax with five star meals, spa treatments, and the best that Florida, California, and Arizona have to offer their guests. Dive in!




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Loving the team bonding and slagging of rookie Tommy Fleetwood by Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson and Ian Poulter as they go on a car journey before ringing Thomas Bjorn to request cryo chambers for the entire team!





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62 out of the gate on Thursday? Tiger Woods is back ladies and gentlemen.

How did he do it. Easy.

He put his old Scotty Cameron Newport 2 putter back in his hands.



“I’ve hit hundreds of millions of putts with the damn thing,” a very sweaty Woods said after his round. “My body just remembers it.”

Here he is talking about the putter after.



https://www.facebook.com/PGATour/videos/2183063368630808/

Woods used a TaylorMade Juno prototype last week but quickly jettisoned it in favour of the old Scotty.

Isn't it amazing how we golfers fall in love with a club, break up, fall in love with a new club but end up going back to our first girlfriend....I mean club.

Guys make sure you are following me on twitter here!!! 




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2018 Omega European Masters Betting Tips

Sept 6th – 9th, 2018
Crans-Sur-Sierre Golf Club, Crans-Sur-Sierre, Switzerland
Par: 70 / Yardage: 6,848
Defending Champion: Matthew Fitzpatrick

I've been so busy doing the betting tips post for the 2018 BMW Championship on the PGA Tour I've not had time to do the European Tour so I'm delighted to have Twitter Tipster Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) on board this week with his betting tips ahead of the 2018 Omega European Masters.

Rob's Top 3 Each Way European Masters Picks

Tip 1: Lucas Bjerregaard 25/1

Crans form:T9 (-8),T49 (-2),CUT (+1)
Recent form: T9 Czech, 6th Denmark

Tip 2: Danny Willett 33/1

Crans Form: CUT (+8), T12 (-9),Win (-17), T5 (-16), T26 (-6), T2 (-12), T25 (-8), T42 (-3), T23 (-7)
Recent form: T18 Czech, MC Denmark

As always, I’m looking for a bit of value in the market, and whilst Fitzpatrick, Pieters and Wallace may have the Ryder Cup on their mind, two towards the front of the market that catch my eye are Lucas Bjerregaard and Danny Willett.

The Dane has had a great season so far, especially on tree lined courses such as Wentworth, and this tight course in the mountains could well suit after two top tens in the past fortnight.

Willett seems to be putting his well publicised post Masters slump firmly behind him.
Now back at a track where he has previously won, Danny’s game looks primed to fire following up four top 25 results in recent weeks.

Tip 3: Adrian Otaegui 66/1


Crans form: CUT (+1) T58 (-1) T53 (+1) T40 (-6)
Recent form: T65 PGA Champ. T10 Denmark

Further down the market, I simply cannot leave Adrian Otaegui out. At 66/1 I always like Adrian on tight courses where plotting your way round is an advantage. Whilst he doesn’t carry any course form, last week’s top 10 shows he’s back in top form.

Long Odds Glory Shot

Mikko Ilonen 100/1


Recent Crans form: 5 (-10), T12 (-9), T40 (-6), CUT (E), CUT (+7), T9 (-11), T32 (-4)
Recent form: MC Scottish, MC European Open

To conclude my team and a pure price play is Mikko Ilonen at 100/1. He simply loves it in the mountains, with a 5th and a 12th in his past two  appearances here, along with two further top 10’s. Whilst his current form is nothing to write home about with one top 20 in his past four outings, I’m hoping he can grab a place at one of his favourite tracks.


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2018 BMW Championship Betting Preview and Tips

Sept 6th – 9th, 2018
Aronimink Golf Club, Newtown Square, Pennsylvania
Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,267
Purse: $9 million with $1,620,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Marc Leishman




Doc's Top 5 Each Way BMW Championship Bets 


Justin Rose 14/1


Traditionally saves some of his best form for the end of season and with his putter hot 2011 BMW Champ Rosey has to be top of your betslip this week.  He's been in the top-8 putting in three of his last four starts and given that includes a T2 at The Open, T19 at the PGA Championship and solo 2nd last time out, that's not half bad. There's also the matter of the rotating venue for the BMW Championship; this year its at Aronimink GC which hosted The National event on the regular PGA Tour in 2010 and 2011. The winner there in 2010? Justin Rose.

Adam Scott 33/1


Nine appearances at the BMW Championship  and four top-10's is Scotty's impressive return given the rotating venue.  There's no two ways about it, he putted horribly at the Dell, almost dead last in the stats, but still managed a 66 in his final round and a under par cumulative split on the par-3's which you'll know means his irons are dialled in.  T5 at the Northern Trust and solo 3rd at Bellerive before that keeps him in my five and Adam also knows Aronimink well having scored a T3 at The National here in 2011. Keep the faith.

Hideki Matsuyama 25/1


Everything is trending towards Hideki posting a high finish this week.  Since a T11 at the Wyndham he's found his iron game again and gone on to a T15 at the Northern Trust and T4 last week in Massachusetts.  The Japanese has posted a cumulative under par split for the par-3's in each of his last three starts, a stat which counts extra given Aronimink is a relatively short 7,237 yard par 70.  T4 in putting last week, if he can marry both long and short game this week he should pay out.

Cameron Smith 45/1


The form dog right now with a solo 3rd at The Dell to go with his T3 at The Northern Trust the week before.  That's nine consecutive rounds in the 60's for the Aussie whose quality course management has shipped only 11 bogeys total in his two events. Given that -10 and -13 have won the last two events staged at Aronimink should also play into Cam's hands.

Marc Leishman 55/1

 

The defending champion from Conway Farms might not seem that hot after a T21 at The Dell but when you consider Marc was T4 in driving accuracy and T5 in greens in regulation it was more a case of 'just couldn't get the ball in the hole'. His T34 at the Northern Trust was very similar with a T10 clip in greens hit and a cumulative par-3 clip of -4.  In lay mans terms don’t count out Marc Leishman, a better week with the putter and he'll be right in the mix.

Long Odds Glory Shots


Bubba Watson catches the eye at 66/1 after a T7 last week. The bookies still have him long odds with a derth of par-5's on the par-70 course this week and given he made all his ground (-11) on the par-5's last time out.

Emiliano Grillo at 90/1 showed good form last week and the Argentine is not afraid of a smash and grab with the big guys.

Fantasy Picks



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