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The 2019 Open Championship Long Odds Betting Tips

July 18th – 21st, 2019
Royal Portrush Golf Club, Portrush, Northern Ireland
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,344
Purse: $10.75 million with $1,935,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Francesco Molinari
 

In this post I'm picking my top five long odds bets for the 2019 Open Championship. Make sure to check out my main 2019 Open Championship Betting Post here.



Now before we get started, a big shout out to our Open Championship video sponsors North and West Coast Links.  If you're coming to Ireland and want a itinerary to include all the top links courses like Open Royal Portrush, here at Portstewart, Ballyliffin and many more great courses, the guys at Northandwestcoastlinks.com are the best in the business and look after absolutely everything. Check them out.

Doc's Top 5 Long Odds Only Betting Tips



Rafa Cabrera Bello 66/1




 The Spaniard comes here smiling after a T9 in Scotland, T4 in Ireland and T3 at the BMW International in Germany.  That's down to a marked improvement in his driving accuracy and putting, the two key stats needed to win in Portrush.  Add to that he was T2 behind Jamie Donaldson at the 2012 Irish Open in Portrush and there's a good case to be made for Rafa.

Eddie Pepperell 70/1


Eddie Pepperell comes into his third Open in fine form after a T4 at the Irish Open and T2 at the British Masters both on links.  T6 last year in Carnoustie and as his twitter followers will attest to Eddie has the character not to let the enormity of the occasion get to him too much. 66/1 are great odds.

Thorbjorn Olesen 100/1


I remember Thorbjorn Olesen shooting a 66 in a storm on the Saturday of the 2012 Irish Open at Royal Portrush and its confidence inspiring memories like those that drive guys like Thorbjorn on.  An impressive T12 at the 2018 Open Championship and if he can find the fairways this week has each way chances with bookies paying up to top 8 after good showings in Ireland and Germany.

Erik Van Rooyen 100/1


I've been flying the flag for Erik for the past few weeks and while he's had flashes of brilliance he just hasn't he the highs. Yet.  T17 at last years Open where he hit more fairways than anyone in the field and given the experience he has gained since then, he can contend here.

Chez Reavie 150/1


What about a lefty at 150/1? Chez Reavie scored a brilliant T3 at the US Open then went on to win at The Travelers by a country mile.  Key to his game is incredible accuracy off the tee and I'm betting he'll surprise you this week.


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The 2019 Open Championship Betting Preview and Tips

July 18th – 21st, 2019
Royal Portrush Golf Club, Portrush, Northern Ireland
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,344
Purse: $10.75 million with $1,935,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Francesco Molinari

Make sure to also check out my Long Odds Only 2019 Open Championship Betting Post here.



Now before we get started, a big shout out to our Open Championship video sponsors North and West Coast Links.  If you're coming to Ireland and want a itinerary to include all the top links courses like Open Royal Portrush, here at Portstewart, Ballyliffin and many more great courses, the guys at Northandwestcoastlinks.com are the best in the business and look after absolutely everything. Check them out.

2019 Open Championship Betting Preview And Tips Video




Favourite Discussion- Win Only Market



Both Rory McIlroy 8/1 and  Brooks Koepka 9/1 starts below my 10/1 cut off point for a sensible pre-tournament bet but I see Jon Rahm still out there at a tempting 14/1 and 16/1.  Questions still linger as to whether he has the patience to win an Open Championship, and it will be tested here, but then again you look at 10 top-10's this season, including a T9 at The Masters and T3 at the US Open and that win in Lahinch where he was also 4th in driving accuracy, winning here in Portstewart in 2017 and you have to fancy him at those odds.

Doc's Top 5 Best Each Way Bets At The 2019 Open


As always I'm looking for guys that represent good each way value, and the bookies will be all fighting for your money and paying extra places this week. We had  Bernd Wiesberger winning for us at 40/1 last week in Scotland so lets hope we can keep the run going. I'm taking all my odds from the Oddschecker comparison page.

Justin Rose 22/1


You just cannot leave Rosey off your betslip. After his close shave with the Claret Jug in 2018 he'll be keen to get himself high on the leaderboard this year.  He's been here early, with Gareth Lord who won with Henrik in 2016 and comes in with five top-10's from 12 starts this season, a win at The Farmers and T3 at the US Open.  My only concern if that he needs a good driving week.

Xander Schauffele 25/1


Brooks Koepka used be guy who flew under the radar with the bookies but that day is well and truly gone and maybe now Xander Schauffele is that guy at 22/1.  This guy has the head for Majors.  We've seen already this year a T2 at the  Masters, T16 at the PGA, and T3 at the US Open and after endearing himself to the crowd with his T2 at Carnoustie last year you have to fancy him to contend again.  A prodigious hitter for a small guy he sits 13th in strokes gained off the tee; if he hits the fairways here he has the iron game to contend.

Henrik Stenson 28/1


After a lean spell earlier in the season Henrik kindof found his stride again at the Canadian Open with a T8 finish and kicked on from there with a T9 at the US Open.  Key to both those performances was leading the field in driving accuracy and if there is one thing that everyone inside the ropes is talking about this week in Portrush is the importance of putting the ball in the fairway. It's almost claustrophobic here with the crowds on top of the players. The greens were slow in Troon when Henrik won in 2016, and if conditions are soft, and the expected rain comes, he has a genuine chance of a place.  T4 last week in Scotland too was a nice warm up.

Adam Scott 25/1


Adam Scott has practised and prepared pretty much more than anyone for this Open; he's been around for over a week now, on the course, learning it from Darren Clarke and learning to drink Guinness down in the Harbour Bar in the evenings.  Scott hasn't missed an Open cut since 2009, he's been top-10 in four of his last seven and comes in with top-10's at the US Open and PGA Championship.  This is a ball strikers course, you have to work the ball both ways, Adam Scott can do that and if the greens play soft and slow, it lessons the impact of his perceived weakness….putting.. And he can contend.

Matt Kuchar 28/1


Never a glamorous tip but amidst all the madness that always ensues Kuch will be there quietly plugging away and creeping up the leaderboard. T9 last year in Carnousite, solo 2nd in Birkdale and if he is to win a Major you feel The Open could be his best shot.  We just need him to be top 5,6 or 7 to pay out and with six top-20 finishes coming in, he's a solid pick.

So there they are my 5 tips, I hope this all helps you to beat the bookies at The Open, and remember to  also check out my a second 2019 Odds long odds only tips video and post with guys 50/1 and over GolfcentralDaily.com. Thanks again to my Open video sponsor NorthandWestCoastLinks.com, and also my site sponsors Bushnell, ClubstoHire.
Best of luck everyone. Fingers crossed for a winner. I'm off over there to watch The Open!

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Great win by Bernd Wiesberger at the weekend and I tipped him at 40/1 in my Scottish Open tips last week.



I met his caddie Jamie Lane in Ireland the week before and he felt a second win of the Summer was coming.

Moving on to the Open Championship, I'm travelling to Royal Portrush today to get the lie of the land and hope to publish my tips on Tuesday.


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I posted this interview given by winning disability golfer Brendan Lawlor at the Scottish Open and it was very warmly received.

The Dundalk Golf member had just won the EDGA Scottish Open was played at The Renaissance Club alongside the main Scottish Open on the European Tour.

Lawlor carded a level par 71 to beat World Number One George Groves by a shot.



The eloquence of Lawlor, who spoke to Nick Dougherty after, is inspiring.





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Tiger Woods may not have played any golf whatsoever in the lead up to next week's Open Championship but as ever he's leaving absolutely no stone unturned in his preparation.

For the past six weeks Woods has been waking at 1am and travelling to the local Supermax prison to take ice cold showers with the inmates.



Speaking after emerging from Block 2 of Coleman Supermax Penitentiary this morning Woods told reporters,
"That was really really tough. The freezing cold water is really really helping me prepare for the shitty weather in Ireland. And the knowledge that if my soap slips there could be trouble is really really helping my nerves. It's a lotta fun in there."

Woods plans to travel to Portrush next Thursday after dropping the kids to school and collecting the dog from the vets.

More as it emerges.

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Matt Kuchar said he was "honoured and humbled" by the offer to lead a big local parade celebrating Rickie Fowler in the town of Portrush on the Saturday evening of The Open Championship.




"These guys in funny hats came to me and said they are massive Rickie fans and they just golly gosh darn it wanted to have a bold 'ole parade to celebrate him right outside the golf course in Portrush on the evening of the 12th of July," said Kuchar. "And when the offered me $5,000 bucks for an hour to lead it, of course I said I was honoured and humbled and want it in cash before I start."

"It's a massive boost to have such a universally loved and popular figure such as Kuch to lead our Rickie Fowler parade," said Rickie Fowler Wears Orange Lodge leader Jim Bowls.

"We have several cool bands lined up along a lets just call it 'mobile route' including the Rickie Fowler William King Memorial band, the  Derryloran Rickie Fowler Boyne Defenders, Ballykeel Loyal Rickie Flower Sons of Ulster and the Moneyslane Rickie Fowler's Flute Band," continued Bowls.  "Then for a bit of fun we're going to have Kuch reinact that little stand off and clash he had with his Mayakoba caddie with the help of the local PSNI. It's going to be great fun!"

Following the parade Kuchar will then attend a special Climate Change Ceremony in Belfast where he will throw the first petrol bomb onto a big stack of pallets then overturn some cars to mark the world's anger at the lack of action on carbon emissions.

More as it emerges.

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In case you you never heard of Bob Menery he's adds absolutely brilliant uncensored commentary to sports clips.

And now the PGA Tour are trying to silence him.



The Tour had an issue with Menery voicing over Matthew Wolff's winning putt last weekend.

Luckily a fan also at the event captured the winning put and Menery went to work on it, leaving a message for the PGA Tour while he was at it!




The PGA Tour messaged Menery on Twitter to say "We will issue a takedown on this video by this evening if we don't hear back from you."



Well done Bob, keep fighting the good fight. I get these notices every week.

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2019 Scottish Open Betting Preview And Tips

July 11th – 14th, 2019
The Renaissance Club, North Berwick, Scotland
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,136
Purse: $7 million with $1,154,413 to the winner
Defending Champion: Brandon Stone


It's the week before The Open Championship and you pretty much know that some of the big guns will use the week to practice and tweak their games while those seeking the last few spots in the Portrush field will be grinding hard.  It's also a new venue this week so that adds to the complexity of the equation. Rors starts favourite at the ridiculous odds of 6/1.



Doc's Top Five Best Scottish Open Each way Bets


Martin Kaymer 33/1


Martin Kaymer is one of the top order players yet to claim a place in the field at The Open and is overpriced at 33/1.  Winner 10 years ago in Scotland and enjoying a return to form of late with a T8 in the British Masters, solo third at The Memorial, T16 in Germany and T9 in Ireland last week.  Says himself he's playing three good rounds from four and if he can fix that here he'll be right in the mix this week.

Bernd Wiesberger 40/1

Burned Cheeseburger. Close enough

Spoke to his caddie Jamie last week and everything is rosy in the garden for team Wiesberger right now.  The injury that plagued the Austrian last year is now a memory and he's come back to win in Denmark, score a T16 in Germany and T2 in Lahinch last week.  Historically hasn't played well in Scotland, but in the form to contend.

Andy Sullivan 45/1


The time Andy won the trip into space!

Improving in form through Germany (T26), Spain (T13) and Ireland (T2) where he showed superb consistency shooting 68, 66, 66, 66.  Two top-10 finishes from his last three visits to Scotland and a win has to be coming soon for Andy.

Eddie Pepperell 30/1


His dog may have none but Eddie Pepperell is showing balls of steel on the links right now.  T2 at Hillside last month was followed with another solid T4 in Lahinch demonstrating the advantage his quality ballstriking has on links. Solo second last year behind runaway winner Brandon Stone at Gullane and in-form to contend again.

Jorge Campillo 55/1


Sticking with Jorge after a T7 finish at the Irish Open where he hit 58 greens in regulation, 3rd in the field.  Four top-3 finishes including a win in Morocco and nine top-20 finishes so far this season is a mighty haul for the stealthy Spaniard.

Long Odds Glory Shots


Gavin Green 90/1


Super odds each way on Gavin Green this week at 90/1. Brilliant form the past fortnight in Spain and Ireland and one those fighting for an Open spot.

Paul Waring 100/1


Watched a lot of Paul last week in Ireland where he scored another top 10 on links after Hillside last month.  He's also in the field for The Open.  Super impressive and could score a place.

Grant Forrest 150/1


Fought back after a poor first round  to finish 14th in Ireland and one to watch this week for a top-10.

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I cant for the life of me figure out how they manage to get all the best players in golf for two days but the field for the 2020 JP McManus ProAm is like that of a Major. And probably better.

The tournament to be staged on 6th and 7th July 2020 is still a year away but as of now Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, Jon Rahm, Phil Mickelson, Dustin Johnson, Sergio Garcia, Matt Kuchar, Paul Casey, Henrik Stenson, Rafa Cabrera-Bello, Graeme McDowell, Shane Lowry and Padraig Harrington are "confirmed" with several more big names to come.



The event benefits charities in the Mid-West of Ireland and has been staged since 1990.

Pro-Am ticket caps are currently priced at €50, which admits holders to both days of the tournament. Tickets for the 2020 JP McManus Pro-Am are on sale from: www.jpmcmanusproam.com/tickets

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Not even one month as a professional and Matthew Wolff is a PGA Tour winner! The 20 year sensation with the Eamon Darcy-esque swing only made his professional debut at the Travelers Championship in June and two events later he's the winner of the 3M Open.



Wolff left Oklahoma State early but will go down as one of the school’s most decorated players ever, winning the 2019 individual title at the NCAA Championship and then being honored with the Fred Haskins and Jack Nicklaus Awards. TaylorMade were quick to sign Wolff to a 14 club deal having also secured a deal with California's Collin Morikawa.

Interestingly both Wolff and Morikawa were paired together in the final group yesterday, with Morikawa finishing in a tie for second with Bryson DeChambeau.

But what a way to seal your first win. One shot behind watching your 26 foot eagle putt drop on the final hole is the stuff of dream.  And a clearly shocked DeChambeau looking on in disbelief was the cherry on top!

A non Tour member playing on an invite, the 20 year old is now fully exempt on the PGA Tour through 2021, and is now in the FedExCup Playoffs race.

Highlights


How He Did It

Using his TaylorMade M5 driver Wolff hit 38 fairways for the week including 10 of 14 in his final round and averaged 303.8 yards.  Gaming TaylorMade P750 Tour Proto irons the 20 year old hit 60 greens in regulation including 17 on Sunday posting a Strokes Gained Tee to Green clip of 5.36. In total he took 115 putts with his TaylorMade Spider X Tour putter to post one eagle and 26 birdies against seven bogeys.

What's In The Bag Matthew Wolff


Driver: TaylorMade M5 (8 degrees) with Graphite Design Tour AD TP 7TX shaft.
3-wood: TaylorMade M5 (15 degrees) with Graphite Design Tour AD BB 8X shaft.
Irons: TaylorMade P760 (2) TaylorMade P750 Tour Proto (4-PW) with Nippon N.S. Pro Tour 130X shafts.
Wedges: TaylorMade Milled Grind (52, 56, 60 degrees) with True Temper Dynamic Gold Tour Issue X100 shafts.
Putter: TaylorMade Spider X Tour
Ball: Titleist Pro V1
Rangefinder: Bushnell Pro XE

Congrats Jon Rahm


A European Tour event like no other you've seen.  A links course that started and finished in the centre of a village. A party atmosphere with thousands of people lining the fairways by day and the streets by night. Fireworks on the beach.  An early cameo by Harrington. A whisker from a 59 by Rock. And a star winner in Jon Rahm. That was the 2019 Irish Open.

Cometh the hour cometh the Rahm as the Spaniard, starting the day five shots back, powered up the leaderboard with a final round of 62 to finish two shots clear of Andy Sullivan and Bernd Wiesberger.

Key to Rahm's success was a back nine charge with an eagle on 12 and bridies on 14, 15, and 16 punctuated by a dropped shot on 14.

Rahm has now finished Win-T4-Win at the Irish Open over the past three years and all thoughts now turn to the Open in Royal Portrush in two weeks time where he's listed at odds of 18/1.


Highlights



How He Did It

Jon Rahm hit a total of 33 fairways for the week with his TaylorMade M5 driver (ranking T4 in the driving accuracy stats) averaging 308.9 yards. Gaming TaylorMade P750 irons the Spaniard hit 53 greens in regulation, T17 in the field. That translated to 114 putts (T22 in the stats) for two eagles and 23 birdies versus 11 bogeys for a winning score of 16 under.

What's In The Bag Jon Rahm


Driver: TaylorMade M5 (10.5 degrees) with Aldila Tour Green 75TX shaft.
3-wood: TaylorMade M5 (15 degrees) with Aldila Tour Green 85 TX shaft.
5-wood: TaylorMade M5 (19 degrees) with Graphite Design Tour AD-DI 8X shaft.
Irons: TaylorMade P-750 (4-PW) with Project X Rifle 6.5 shafts.
Wedges: TaylorMade Hi-Toe (52, 56, 60 degrees) with Project X Rifle 6.5 shafts
Putter: TaylorMade Spider Tour Red with SuperStroke Ultra Slim 1.0 P shafts.
Ball: TaylorMade TP5x (#10)
Rangefinder: Bushnell Pro XE


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A golfer was treated for severe shock this morning after he inadvertently came into contact with a two month old rotten banana in his golf bag.

John Keenan, 28, made the horrific discovery after reaching into the rarely used side pocket to see if his hat was in there.



The area around the golf bag was immediately cordoned off as the mans wife moved in with a plastic bag and kitchen roll in an attempt to make the oozing black banana safe.

"I knew as soon as I reached into that side pocket and felt that warm wet puss like mush between my fingers that something was very wrong," Keenan told reporters. "The last time I played golf was at an outing in Dublin two months ago and there was a banana in the goodie bag.  They should bloody well know that nobody wants a fucking banana in a goodie bag."

With the cleanup operation set to last the rest of the week, Keenan now admits that the inside liner of the bag is now rock solid with absorbed concentrated banana and it might have to be sold on DoneDeal.

"I'll still get 50 quid for it, if he doesn't look in the side pocket," said Keenan.

More as it emerges.



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I just got an email from Helen in Beulah Guest House this morning telling me she has a late cancellation for the week of the Open Championship.

I've stayed in Beulah house before at the Irish Open and its right in the town of Portrush and literally 5 minutes walk max from the golf course. Lovely little guest house with a booking.com rating of 9.3



Helen has two rooms available; a ensuite room with a double bed and single bed priced £250 per night. Can be let as a double triple or twin. Perfect for three people sharing. Price includes breakfast.

The other room is a single small room with an adjacent bathroom priced £90 per night.

To book Contact Helen on 028-70822413 or +44 028-70822413 from outside UK or email stay@beulahguesthouse.com.

My work here is done!

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The atmosphere is just phenomenal at the Irish Open. The place is so relaxed, the course has been conditioned amazingly and its going to be a  cracker.


If you havent seen my Irish Open betting tips post click here.

Had the pleasure of getting the tour of the new practice facilities and teaching building by pro Donal McSweeney.  It is just mind blowingly good.  The interactive indoor putting green for members is amazing.



As always hats off to the greenkeeping staff and all the people who descend on a tournament venue to help prepare the course. This Damien Coleman photo encapsulates it all.



Got to have a good chat with Erik Van Rooyen about his road to the top via the European Tour. A top guy, he's very appreciative of his time in Europe and is in no hurry to move across to the PGA Tour.  "I'm number 85 in the world now, I just want to get to 84," says Erik.



I love the bling in the bags too. The guys even have alignment stick covers!

And finally can you guess who this is?
Not Irish, not American, top 60 in the world and on his holidays around Dublin next week!



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2019 Irish Open Betting Preview And Tips

July 4th – 7th, 2019
Lahinch G.C., Lahinch, Co. Clare, Ireland
Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,036
Defending Champion: Russell Knox

Last week: We tipped Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80/1 winner, Mick Lorenzo Vera 28/1 T2.


Facebook Live Video



Favourite Discussion

2017 winner Jon Rahm starts as a clear 8/1 favourite this week after a T3 at the US Open and good showing at home in Spain last week.  Tommy Fleetwood and Matt Wallace are next at 12/1 and 16/1  but knowing the course and calm conditions forecast I saying hold your win-only bets until Friday night at the very least; this one is wide open!

Doc's Top Five Best Each Way Bets


Danny Willett 33/1


Form is temporary, class is permanent and Danny Willett is slowely but surely finding his best stuff again on the golf course.  He kindof sortof began to play better at the PGA Championship, was top-30 at Memorial, then broke through with a top-10 in Canada and was a super T12 at the US Open.  Suffice to say also that Danny loves the Irish Open, he's been top-10 in four of his last six visits wherever the links or parkland venue and I think he will have another good week here.

Jordan Smith 40/1


Cant be ignored this week after recovering from a blip in Denmark to notch up a T3 last time out in Munich.  T6 also in the British Masters on Hillside links in Southport before that.  So whether it be Germany England China Morocco or Malaysia, if you can find between 55 and 60 greens in regulation every single week, like Jordan does, you can contend anywhere.

Erik Van Rooyen 33/1


Dominated for large parts of the 2018 Irish Open in Ballyliffin before finishing T4 and has since gone on to acquit himself well on the world stage culminating in a T8 at the PGA Championship in Bethpage.  I think it’s a case of 'enjoy him while we have him Europe' as this guy is destined for big things on the PGA Tour.  T16 last time out in Germany where he hit more greens than anyone.

Russell Knox 40/1


Surely an absolute no brainer each way bet is Russell Knox at 40/1. Here you have a guy that despite driving it on average just 288 yards (short by modern standards) cashes in week in week out on the monster courses of the PGA Tour. Then when Tour goes to shorter courses Knox pounces, as he did with a T8 at Colonial last month.  Lahinch is as short as it gets on Tour and needs wind to defend itself and is right up Knox's alley.  Defending champion and T2 in the K Club in 2016.

Jorge Campillo 66/1


Jorge Campillo was on fire earlier in the season with four top-3 finishes and a win in Morocco.  But after missed cuts at Bethpage and in Denmark, we saw some green shoots in Belgium and a T15 last week in Valderrama.  Solo third last year in Ballyliffin and all his stats are trending in the right direction for a place finish this week.


Long Odds Glory Shots


Robert MacIntyre 80/1: I love watching this guy play and he has the putter to once again contend like he did in Southport and Denmark.

Alvaro Quiros 100/1: T18 in Denmark, T3 in Germany and T2 at home in Spain last week but the bookies hate him on links.  In fairness he has given them plenty of reason but confidence is a mighty thing so watch out for him.

Mathieu Pavon 200/1: Found his mojo again in Germany after a squillion missed cuts in a row. Drove it straight in Valderrama last week too. He'll definitely top-10 here.


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