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2019 Andalucia Valderrama Masters Betting Preview And Tips

June 27th – 30th, 2019
Real Club Valderrama, Sotogrande, Spain
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,001
Defending Champion: Sergio Garcia

Favourite Watch

Sergio Garcia has won the last two staging's of this event and starts at 6/1 joint favourite with fellow countryman Jon Rahm.

Doc's Top 5 Each Way Bets

Joost Luiten 20/1

Missed the cut in Germany last week on his first event back after a trip to the PGA Championship and Memorial which didn't set the world alight.  Remains however a great ball striker and somewhat of a Valderrama specialist with a formline of T11, 2nd, 2nd in the last three tournaments staged here.

Mike Lorenzo Vera 28/1

First visit back to Sotogrande for Mike since the 2016 Open de Espana where he finished T6.  It's over a month since his last outing at the PGA Championship where he finished T16 which could prove a good or bad thing.  Let's hope he's fresh and ready because there's a lot of jaded guys out there and you've got to have 100% focus to handle this place.

Matthias Schwab 45/1

Debut at Valderrama for Matthias and this place takes a lot of learning but I think he has all the tools to have a great week.  T3 in Germany last week and T9 recently in Denmark thanks to the Austrian's super iron game. It'll be tested here.

Ashley Chesters 55/1

Not the longest batter off the tee on Tour but every so often a short tricky course like Valderrama pops up that suits Ashley down to the ground.  Solo 4th here in 2018, T12 in 2017 and has a very solid average of 72.2% of greens found in regulation this season.

Christian Bezuidenhout 80/1

Christian Bezuidenhout may have one of the most unpronouncable names on Tour but there's plenty talking about him after a T3 at the BMW International last week.  That followed missed cuts in England and China but there's plenty to suggest from good results on tricky tests in Morocco and India earlier in the season that the South African will fancy this.  T29 here on his debut.

Long Odds Glory Shots

Ashun Wu 160/1:  Short but super accurate hitter.  T37 last week in Germany. Way overpriced this week.
Edoardo Molinari 100/1: Hugely experienced and in form after a T3 last week.
Oli Fisher 140/1: Doesn't get the results his immense skill deserves but on tracks like this his iron play usually comes to the fore.

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Hand on heart I have to say I missed the golf yesterday but turned on the PC only to see a barage of tweets berating Matt Wallace for his treatment of caddie Dave McNeilly.

I'm not so sure if this video truly captures the incident but there is clearly tension.
Lots of reports that Wallace rounded on McNeilly verbally and physically after hitting a poor drive on the 18th hole.

Twitter was quick to pass judgement.

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What a story! James Sugrue has won the Amateur Championship and in doing so secured a place in the field at next months Open Championship in Portrush, the 2020 US Open and Masters.

Masters 2020!

Playing on home soil at Portmarnock the Cork man just scraped into the matchplay stages holing a clutch birdie on the final hole during the strokeplay stage of the event.

Sugrue beat Euan Walker 2 up holes in a thrilling final.

Here's the final putt.

From another angle
Unreal James. Unreal.

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Here's a nice little piece for the golf betting novice, explaining the various different options available to the modern punter.

Having a bet on golf can be fun and also quite lucrative!  Whether you’re doing it recreationally because you enjoy winning or professionally, we hope that you will find this article useful. Throughout this article, you will learn about different strategies, best places to bet, different types of golf bets, and other cool stuff.

In order to avoid losing money when betting on golf, you might want to look at the experts who crush the sportsbooks on a regular basis. Usually, this information might be quite difficult to find and most experts will avoid revealing their secrets. But we are here to help and we managed to pull back the doors and give our readers access to valuable insights. If you are serious about golf betting, you might want to know that the free betting tips from Freebets UK are a great asset as well.
Here are some of the most important things that you need to know before placing your first bet:
 What are some of the most popular types of golf betting?

Betting at a local bricks and mortar sportsbook can be a great choice, as you’ll find a few different types of golf bet available. However, the options are nowhere near the ones that you can have if you bet online. Online sportsbooks allow you to push all edges and predictions that you could possibly think of and are an extremely flexible option.

If you didn’t know about online golf betting or you are not aware of the different options available on these websites, we’ve got you covered. Read on and you’ll learn key details about some of the most popular types of golf bets available. We recommend taking a minute and reading through each option carefully. You never know which option might prove effective for you and might bring you profits. You can win substantial amounts of money by betting on golf without having to pick the winners of particular tournaments.

Betting in order to win- Win Only Market

This is the most popular and straightforward type of golf bet available. However, just because people prefer this type of betting that doesn’t mean it’s ineffective or obsolete. Betting in order to win the bets is a solid part of making money in this industry. A lot of professional betters will use this betting option to line their pockets with cash and so can you.

So how does this type of betting actually work? A ‘to win’ bet consists of betting on the people who are most likely to win a golf tournament, such as the U.S. Open. If you think a certain golf player is going to win a tournament, all you have to do is place a ‘to win’ bet on him. If you were right, and he does win, then you’ll win your bet.

While ‘to win’ betting comes down to being able to pick the winners, there is something that you should know. ‘To win’ bets are almost always more profitable than even money. For example, the lowest payouts or ‘the worst’ odds that you will see on favoured players are 7 or 8/1. In other words, a $£€1 bet will win you $£€7 or $£€8, which is extremely profitable.

Betting versus the field

This is one of the most exciting golf betting options as it allows you to bet on everyone except for one or two golfers. In general, this type of bet can be seen in later rounds of tournaments, especially when a certain golfer seems to win. The sportsbook will then give betters the option to bet against the favorite. In order to win your bet, it doesn’t matter who wins, it only matters that the designated golfer doesn’t.

Betting head-to-head

Head to head bets are the ones that offer more options when you bet online than when you bet in a bricks and mortar sportsbook. The idea behind head-to-head golf bets is pretty simple – the sportsbook sets a line between to different golfers. For instance, let’s imagine that Jason Day and Jason Dufner are both in a certain round of a tournament. The sportsbook will set a line on which of the two golfers will win the round. In order to win your bet, you simply need to guess what happens throughout that round.

Betting on future events

A futures bet is different from the previously mentioned types of bets as it is a longer-term bet. This type of bet is usually made at the beginning of the golfing season or before the playoffs, but it can also be made at any point throughout the events. What makes future bets unique is the fact that you will get different payout odds depending on the players who become more or less likely to win. This means that if you make a correct prediction, you might earn more.

Betting on Props

Prop betting is a fun and interesting type of golf betting and can be a great way to make some extra money. Usually, these bets have no direct effect on a tournament’s outcome. Here are some examples of prop bets:

- Whether or not there will be a playoff
- How old the winner of the tournament will be
- How many majors will players win throughout the year
- How many hole in ones will there be in a specific round
Now that you know about the different types of golf betting available online, you are all set. All you have to do is choose your favourite type and make your bets.

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You have to hand it to Phil Mickelson on this.  Looks like he's sitting on the toilet, his modesty covered by his World Hall Of Fame jacket, and he's telling a story from the Tour that goes firmly into the toilet humour category!

I do love it!

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2019 BMW International Betting Preview And Tips

June 20th – 23rd, 2019
GolfClub Munchen Eichenried, Munich, Germany
Par: 72 / Yardage: 7,181
Defending Champion: Matt Wallace

Favourite Watch

Defending champ Matt Wallace heads the betting at 10/1 but this is a course where Sergio Garcia 12/1 looks dangerous.

Doc's Top 5 Best Each Way Bets

Martin Kaymer 16/1

Improving in form with a solo third at Memorial and a cameo on the leaderboard at the US Open  last week.  T8 in the greens in regulation stats at Pebble Beach bode well for the return home this week.  There's always an added pressure on Martin to perform in Germany and while sometimes it has proven too much, he did win it back in 2008 and was T2 in Larchenoff last year.

Pablo Larrazabal 40/1

Always hard to know how the mercurial Spaniard will do on any given week but with the BMW International rotating back to Eichenreid this year he's sure to giving this one top priority.  Twice a winner on this course and comes in off a T4 in Denmark and T8 at the British Masters.  Withdrew last time out in Belgium but good to go again this week.

David Lipsky 50/1

David Lip Ski.

Rested and fresh after a trip stateside to play in the PGA Championship and Memorial, David Lipsky is back in Europe where he quietly and consistently goes about his business.  If he brings form like he has been showing this season I think he can do better than a T10 here in 2017.

Thomas Detry 28/1

Continuing his education as a European Tour with his 71st start this week.  Golf in Belgium is great and Detry looks set to be the country's next big star.  T2 in 2017 on this course behind winner Andres Romero and brings in solid form.

Bernd Wiesberger 33/1

Burnt Cheeseburger....close enough

Odds have lengthened after a poor US Open showing but that was largely down to a Saturday 78 when trying to make something happen.  Overall Bernd is looking more and more the star again after winning in Denmark and a solid showing in Belgium.  Can place again here from 33's.

Long Odds Glory Shots

Interested to see how two time Tour winner in 2019 Guido Migliozzi at 80/1 gets on this week.
Also Jhonattan Vegas at 60/1.  Americans who makes a guest appearance sometimes thrive in the different environment.

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Whatever your views on Patrick Reed I think what this fan does is downright rude.

Offers him a low five on the way past by putting out his hand, Reed obliges, guy then pulls away hand.

He's at work dude, that's just not right.

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I'm not sure whether this was during US Open, and think it was more likely from one of the practise rounds but it is a lovely view nonetheless, of Shane Lowry's amazing chipping skills.

And the turn towards the camera and fist pump are quality!

Follow Shane on Twitter here

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Chesson Hadley on social media is brilliant and this "Star Is Born" video in his car is brilliant!

Enjoy and follow him on twitter here

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Watson, Nicklaus, Kite, Woods, McDowell and Woodland.  Pebble Beach always finds a way to pick the right winner.

This time she chose the Tour's nice guy Gary Woodland.  Strong and assured and positive and putting better, when it counted most, than any man on planet Earth.

What's In The Bag Gary Woodland

Driver: Ping G410 Plus (9 degrees) with an Accra RPG 472 M5+ shaft.
3-wood: Ping G410 LST (14.5 degrees) with an Accra Tour ZX 4100 M5 shaft.
Irons: (3-PW) Wilson Staff Model Blades with KBS Tour C-Taper 130 X shafts.
Wedges: Titleist Vokey Design SM7 (52, 58 degrees), TaylorMade Hi-Toe (64 degrees) with KBS Hi-Rev 2.0 125 X shafts.
Putter: Scotty Cameron Newport prototype


How Did He Do It?

 Woodland hit 40 fairways for the tournament including 10 of 14 on Sunday with his Ping G410 Plus driver and fairway averaging 310 yards.  Gaming Wilson Staff Model Blades irons the 35-year-old then found 50 greens in regulation, second only in the stats to Brooks Koepka who hit 52.  But for all his power Woodland's Titleist Vokey and TaylorMade HiToe  wedges and Scotty Cameron Newport prototype putter came up clutch when it counted.  The Florida resident ended the week averaging just 27.5 putts per round with 110 total, T19 in the stats.  Over 72 holes Woodland totaled 17 birdies versus just four bogeys, best in the field and now he's a Major Champion.

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After a tough day getting given out shite to by his boss,  caddie Micheal Greller revealed he is getting closer to plucking up the courage to tell Jordan Spieth to stop blaming him for hitting shite shots and to cop himself the fuck on.

Following a first round 71, Greller took a moment away from popping big watery blisters on his feet in the outhouse where the caddies are kept to speak to reporters.

"My Dad always told me that to be a good caddie it's really important to be subservient to the boss, even when he acts like a whinging little brat who blames you for causing him to let go of the balloon Ronald McDonald gave him and now the damn thing's gone a mile up in the air," Greller said.  "But there were times today when I just felt like giving him a massive root up the hole and telling him to 'cop the fuck on'.  I'm still a bit afraid.  Maybe I'll start with something mild like 'I've have had it up to here with your lip being honest' and see how he takes that."

More as it emerges.

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I absolutely love Brooks Koepka.  Just watch him talk about first "complainers" and then being left off the Fox US Open promo video.

But he loves Joe Buck!

This is brilliant on being left off the Fox promo

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The USGA have a new guy in charge of the setting up the US Open course at Pebble this week.  He's John Bodenhamer and he's determined not to royally fuck it up year in year out like the last guy Mike Davis.

But America being America and institutions being institutions Bodenhamer hasn't managed to totally get rid of Davis and his "opinions" still have to be heard.

But there's one Prime Directive Bodenhamer is working to, zero complaints from disgruntled players on the impossibility of the test.

Related post: 2019 US Open Betting Preview And Tips

Mike Davis

To that end PGA Tour winner Jason Gore has been brought as a kindof liason officer to vet and test any course setup ideas before they are set in stone.

This from  Bodenhamer yesterday......

As far as different, I don’t know — I think Pebble Beach will always be what Pebble Beach has been for the U.S. Open. I mean, why would we do anything different when we’ve had Nicklaus, Watson, Kite, Woods, and McDowell win, and in dramatic fashion every time. Why would we change the recipe? We’re not going to. Now look, there are a few new putting greens here, some new teeing areas, you know it’s little bit different golf course than it was in 2010 and the weather is going to be different probably and all of that. There are some differences.
The one thing that I would say that I have tried to infuse, and Mike and our team are fully supportive, is to be a little more informed with how we’re going into this U.S. Open. What I mean by that is we have Jason Gore on our staff [Gore was announced as the USGA’s first Player Relations Director in March]. A player that has won 11 times at the professional level, seven times on Tour. And he’s informing our process from a setup standpoint.

Nick Price, we’re involving Nick in what we’re doing here at Pebble Beach. Nick will be here this week. We also brought in a guy that I’ve known for a long time — a guy by the name of Casey Boyns. He’s a 37-year caddie here at Pebble Beach and a two-time California amateur champion and probably won 20 other major amateur events around California and the country. I’ve known him a long time, played golf with him years ago. He’s won two California amateurs at Pebble Beach, when he won in the 80s and 90s. But he caddies 250 to 300 times a year here and he’s done it for 37 years. There is nobody who knows this golf course better than him. We brought him out and went around the golf course with him. We showed him our plan. He knows how these greens behave in certain types of weather. He knows what the four new putting greens are behaving like. He knows what the wind will do certain times of the year. It’s fascinating and we’ve brought him in and that’s a little bit new for us.
Here's my preview. Odds have changed since as expected but still plenty of value to be had.

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There is as always a flood of opinion on who is going to win the US Open but I have filtered out the wheat from the chaff and listed who the top tipsters like and a link to their post.

My own 2019 US Open Betting Preview And Expert Tips post is here.

First up Ben Coley for Sporting Life has done an excellent preview of the entire field here.

His full US Open selections post is here and his selections are
Patrick Cantlay at 20/1
Xander Schauffele at 28/1
Webb Simpson at 50/1
Kevin Na at 125/1
Branden Grace at 160/1

Betfair have a really good current form chart for the players here. You usually dont see these outside a paywall.

Here's my selections.

Steve Rawlings is the Betfair tipster and his piece is here. He tips
Dustin Johnson @ 10.50
Jordan Spieth @ 24.00
Phil Mickelson @ 65.00
Brandt Snedeker @ 95.00
Graeme McDowell @ 180.00
Jimmy Walker @ 230.00

National Club Golfer make a case for Mickelson at 33/1 but also tip DJ and Xander. Here's their piece.

Tappers for Golf Monthly makes a case for Garcia and Si Woo Kim as an outsider.

Betting planet do a nice few alternative tips. Top rest of world player etc.

Oddsmarket like Spieth, Lowry, Walker rather like myself.....

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2019 US Open Betting Preview And Expert Tips

June 13th – 16th, 2019
Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,075
Purse: 12.5 million with $2,250,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Brooks Koepka

Favourite Watch (Win Only Betting Market)

Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka are all priced around 8/1 and you can make a compelling case for all but there's huge risk on any decent outright bet pre-tournament on any of them especially on a course like Pebble Beach.

If I was stretched to pick one of the favourites for value I'd choose Jordan Spieth at 16/1.  He's coming in off three top-8 finishes at Bethpage, Colonial and Muirfield Village, solely down to determination and great putting.  He won the AT&T at Pebble Beach (Spyglass and Monterrey) in 2017 and this course represents his best chance of plotting his ball around a US Open course since winning in 2015 at Chambers Bay.

Again I urge the win only punters to resist the urge to bet pre event and instead wait until the first or second rounds have been completed, assess the lie of the land, and then place a wager!

As always I'm looking for each way value and we've been a super roll over the last couple of months so here are my five best each way picks for the US Open in ascending value.

Doc's Top 5 Best Each 2019 US Open Bets

Tip 1: Jason Day 25/1

It's a long time since Jason Day was listed as long as 25/1 for a Major and the bookies will point to poor form including a missed cut last time out at Memorial and no real US Open run since 2016.  That may be fair but I'm seeing a guy with a T5 at The Masters this year, a guy who until 2016 contended in four straight US Opens and a guy who absolutely loves Pebble Beach (I make it four top-10's from his last six AT&T's).  There's no pressure, no weight of expectation on Day this week and with legendary caddie Stevie Williams on the bag I think he has a great chance to pay out for a place.

Tip 2: Hideki Matsuyama 28/1

Hideki has improved his finish every time since a T31 at the Wells Fargo up to a solo sixth at Memorial last time out and I think he's back approaching his best. Only missed one cut from six US Opens and was T2 behind Brooks Koepka at Erin Hills in 2017.  With Mike Davis now done setting up the courses, some think the US Open set-ups will lose some of their wickedness, but Pebble Beach will play super tough and be as much a mental test as a golfing one.  Hideki has the temperament and course management skills to contend.

Tip 3: Tommy Fleetwood 33/1

Tommy at 33/1 looks like a super bet to me.  Solo fourth and second in the last two US Opens at Shinnecock and Erin Hills was no accident and fashioned not just by ball striking but  by an incredible chipping and putting game.  The short game will be the undoing of most on the tiny upturned saucer greens and crazy runoffs at Pebble.  T48 last time out at the PGA Championship after forcing things and shooting 78 on Sunday at Bethpage but watch out for Tommy under the radar this week at Pebble.

Tip 4: Brandt Snedeker 66/1

When you consider that Sneds doesn't hit the ball long compared to the big bombers on Tour, three top-10 finishes from his last five US Opens is one hell of a feat and I think he's the bet of the tournament at 66/1 this week.  The man is a master of Pebble Beach having won the AT&T twice since 2013.  His 'pop' putting stroke makes him one of the best Poa Annua grass putters in the game, and it's much the same putting surface in Pebble as in Canada last week where Sneds shot 60 on Friday and finished T4.  A no brainer bet this week.

Tip 5: Shane Lowry 100/1

How could I leave Shane Lowry out after tipping him to a T2 at 50/1 last week?  That means he comes to Pebble Beach with a formline of T3 at Hilton Head, T8 at Bethpage and T2 at Hamilton GC and surely the Golfing Gods owe him a break after his agonising T2 at Oakmont in 2016.  There's nothing not to like about an in-form Shane, he putts great on Poa Annua, can play in the wind, has one of the best short games in the world and knows what its like to be at the business end of a US Open.  Best of luck Shane and Bo on the bag!

Long Odds Glory Shots

Well as if Shane Lowry in my top-5 wasn't long odds enough here's three guys at 100/1 and over to watch out for this week.

Graeme McDowell 100/1

The pressure is off GMac after he dramatically qualified for The Open with a monster putt on the last green in Canada on Sunday and he'll be full of confidence heading to Pebble Beach where he bested the field in 2010 to win his sole Major.  Crazy odds in my opinion with some bookies paying top-8 each way.

Jimmy Walker 150/1

Everything with Jimmy is based on how he feels when he gets up in the morning as his battle with Lyme Disease is ongoing but he's been very solid of late and is a Pebble expert with an AT&T win in 2014 and four other top-10's.

Erik Van Rooyen 150/1

I just think this guy is the business and watch for Erik to grab some headlines this week.  Super so far on the European Tour, scored a T8 at Bethpage and comes in off a top-20 in Canada last week.  Looks a future Major champion to me!

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