2011 US Open Betting Preview and Tips: Congressional Country Club
Betting Preview And Tips: Early odds from paddypower
Ernie Els 66/1
Though his form shows absolutely nothing of note since his win at the South African Open back in January you just cannot write off Ernie Els when it comes to a US Open. Els always had that southern hemisphere knack of being able to handle tough course set ups and fast greens. Came third last year at Pebble having missed the cut at Memorial and won the last US Open to be staged at Congressional in 1997. It would be a shock, but then again the US Open is always full of shocks. The biggest shock is his price at 66/1.
Hunter Mahan 22/1
I’ve log been of the opinion that the US Open is the Major most suited to Hunter Mahan. He has played in five, missed the cut last year and finished in the top 20 in every other. His best finish was tied sixth in Bethpage in 2009. When Congressional was on the regular season roster Mahan tied eighth at the 2007 AT&T and narrowly lost out to Tiger in 2009 after a final round 62. Hunter has been in the top 16 in each of his last four events and I believe a top 10 or better is on the cards this week.
Brandt Snedeker 50/1
Brandt Snedeker is having his best ever year on Tour. A fourth in Texas was quickly followed by a playoff win over Luke Donald at The Heritage. After a solid return at the St Jude last week, he returns to an event and a venue that have been kind to him in the past. Snedeker tied eighth in last years US Open to add to his tied ninth at Torrey Pines in 2008. In 2007 he top tenned at the AT&T and tied fifth at Congressional in 2009. Look for odds to finish in the top 10.
Sergio Garcia 50/1
Sergio went 78, 69 last week at the St. Jude to miss his very first cut of the season. Could it be a blessing in disguise for the Spaniard who can now head to Congressional before the rest of the field to get acclimatized? Before last week Garcia had played 11 times, made 11 cuts and had a worst finish of 35th. Without a win since the HSBC Champions in 2009, Congressional could play to his accuracy and long iron strengths whilst masking his weakness on the greens. El Nino has been at the business end of Majors in the past but the wind has always contrived against him.
Luke Donald 10/1
This is less a tip than an infomercial on Luke Donald. Including the Tour Championship at the end of September, Donald has played 15 times, finishing in the top 10 in all but one event. That staggering run of results still didn’t satisfy his knockers who pointed to his lack of wins, another stat Luke but right at Wentworth a couple of weeks back. The Englishman has an abysmal US Open record but with a report card as glowing as the one he has, you just cannot rule him out.
Dustin Johnson 22/1
The record shows that Dustin Johnson tied eighth last year at Pebble Beach, including that horrific final round of 82. That might have broken lesser men but DJ bounced back to win the BMW Championship at Cog Hill later in the year. At six foot four inches Johnson is prodigiously long off the tee, an invaluable asset in this event over any other, his approaches will be shorter than others to Congressional tough new greens. A year older and wiser and coming off improving form with a fourth place finish at The Memorial, you get the feeling this event owes him something.
KJ Choi 28/1
KJ Choi has fared well in the past at The Masters, but hasn’t ever really featured in the US Open form book. Until now? The winner of the 2007 AT&T National at Congressional is having a vintage year having already racked up five top 10’s including golf’s “Fifth Major”, winning a playoff against David Toms. They reckon Congressional demands a “special” winner and they don’t come more special than a Korean power lifter turned golfer and all round nice guy.