arnie logo 2012 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview and Tips

Thursday Mar 22 – Sunday Mar 25, 2012

Bay Hill Club & Lodge · Orlando, Florida

odds on exchanges

Ernie Els 50/1

steve sands ernie els Found out a little in his short putting last week and then faced “that interview” with Steve Sands after. If Els is to have any chance of keeping up his record of appearing in every Masters since 1993, he needs to perform this week. Bay Hill is a course where experience counts. Els has won here when the course was a par 70 and again when it reverted back to a 72 in 2010. Good in the wind, we know he’s in good form so what’s not to like?

Jim Furyk 36/1

furyk A welcome return to form last week getting into the playoff at The Transitions. Shotlink placed Furyk fourth in greens in regulation, a stat which will be even more critical this week. Tied 11th in 2010 and tied ninth last year. If Furyk can do better than his opening round 74 of 12 months ago, he can contend again this week.

Sergio Garcia 27/1

garcia Of the European contingent I think Sergio Garcia has a decent shout this week. Bay Hill is all about shotmaking with it’s four par 3’s ranking collectively as the toughest on Tour and Garcia is haute couture when it comes to designing shots. Tied 16th last week just five shots off the pace but better than that, only took four bogeys all week ranking fifth in greens in regulation. The greens at Bay Hill are super tough, even the best struggle to make birdies, and this plays into the Spaniard’s hands. This will be his 11th event at the venue and been in the top 10 six times, including last year.

Justin Rose 19/1

rose Recent winner at the WGC Cadillac and sure to be in the mix again this week. Word from inside the ropes is that everyone is marveling at Rose’s ball striking right now. Don’t be fooled either at his tied 29th last week, according to shotlink Rose actually tied for first in greens hit in regulation, something that will pay more dividends this week. Rose won twice within a month in 2010, so don’t rule it out.

Best Of The Rest

webb[3] I feel a bit guilty for tipping Webb Simpson 22/1 last week so I’m going to make it up by going with him one more time at Bay Hill. He may not have cashed in at Copperhead but again but in a good performance with a tied 10th finish. Shot all four rounds in the 60’s and certainly is one to keep an eye on over the coming weeks. Kevin Na at 90/1 may not be a form dog coming into this week but he is a horse for course and those odds are too generous for a guy who tied 2nd as recently as 2010.

The Course

· Tough. Ranked 2nd hardest par 72 last year outside of the Majors.

· Average winning score over the last four years: 9 under

· Changed from par 70 to par 72 in 2010

· 7,419 yards

· Key stat: Greens in regulation.

· Expected Weather: Light winds

 

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Donal Hughes

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