Winner Alright: Last week we tipped Ben Curtis to tied second at 140/1.
Keegan Bradley 21/1
Defending this week in only his 43rd tournament on Tour. Last week at the Players hopefully saw the end of Keegan’s mini slump of two missed cuts in New Orleans and Quail Hollow. Last years winning total was four under as the field battled winds of 30 mph all week. Bradley won after a a sudden death playoff with Ryan Palmer.
Jason Day 27/1
After a top 10 at Quail Hollow I tipped Jason to perform at The Players but he ended up missing the cut by one shot. Rather than write him off however I’m going to give the Aussie another shot this week as his game is tailored made for this Las Colinas layout, especially if the wind blows as it has done for the past two years. Day needed only 101 putts when he won here in 2010 and went 69, 67 at the weekend to finish fifth when defending last year. Surely a change in fortune is on the cards this week.
Jason Dufner 20/1
The Zurich Classic winner took a week off before returning to the fray at The Players but struggled to find his form throughout. Dufner however can be major threat again this week, as he tends to thrive on tougher courses. One of the few players to break par in the final round last year, he ended up in a tie for eighth. Those who waggle their clubs are not popular on Tour right now, but for Jason we’ll make an exception!
Ernie Els 30/1
Winless since December 2010, the odds on Ernie Els are a healthy 30/1 and ever increasing. Els has decided to include this event in his schedule after bypassing it for the past number of years. Though he missed the cut at Sawgrass, three top fives in his last six starts, including being second to Dufner in New Orleans, is impressive and Els is a master in windy conditions. I think he has circled this event as one at which he can break through again.
Best Of The Rest
With three top 10’s in his last six events Brian Davis 55/1 returns to a happy hunting ground at TPC Four Seasons. Davis has top 10’d twice out of the three cuts he has made here with a best of solo second in 2009 behind Rory Sabbatini in benign conditions. If the wind is low this week, Davis will certainly be one to watch.
Jeff Overton 50/1 followed an opening 78 at Sawgrass with a 69 but missed the cut on 3 over. I had expected more from the Ryder Cupper who seems to be on the way back up after early season top fives at The Transitions and in Houston. Jeff tied for second here in 2010 and shot a 64 in the opening round last year on his way to tied eighth. I expect a good performance.
And finally is he’s in the mood after another top 10 last week at The Players, keep an eye on Carl Pettersson from 32/1. A recent win at The Heritage and a second in Houston, 2012 is turning out to be a bumper year for the bumpy Swede. Faded at the weekend last season but not before some impressive stuff in the opening rounds.