2012 BMW PGA Championship, Wentworth Club, May 2012 - 27 May 2012
Winner Alright: Last week we tipped Jason Dufner to win at 20/1
Luke Donald 10/1
It’s a super field this week at Wentworth with the likes of McIlroy and Westwood primed and ready for action. Of the favorites though, I fancy Luke Donald. The new Wentworth rewards greens in regulation merchants and Donald traditionally tops the stats in that category here. The winner in 2011 and just one back when tying second in 2010, Donald is on a decent run of recent form too finishing 3rd in New Orleans and 6th at The Players since winning the Transitions in March.
Marcus Fraser 100/1
A year after being laid up with a hand injury Marcus Fraser is back to his best on Tour. Top 10’s in his last starts at the China Open (6th) and at the Ballantines (3rd) at the end of April. A final round 67 vaulted the Aussie into a tie for fourth here last year.
Matteo Manassero 55/1
What a star this kid is turning out to be. Still only 19, Matteo comes here with four top 10’s in his last five starts. Two of those were in Spain, one in Morocco and one in Malaysia. Last time out at the Open De Espana the Italian was cruising until a poor third round but still managed 7th. That was almost a carbon copy of the case at Wentworth last year where he was at the head of the leaderboard after day three only to shoot a final round 75 on day four to again tie 7th. Wentworth owes Matteo something.
Ben Curtis 46/1
Just a couple of months ago, Ben Curtis was without his PGA Tour card and planning a season including several European Tour starts. That’s all changed for Curtis now having won in Texas , finished fifth at Quail Hollow and second last time out at Sawgrass. So it’s a nice touch to turn up and give the nod of thanks to the European Tour this week. Curtis knows Wentworth pretty well too having played in this event in 2009. He tied sixth.
Ian Poulter 48/1
Things are on the up for Ian Poulter after a poor season opening which may be attributed to much happening at home including building a new house. In his last six starts however Poults has finished under par and never been outside the top 30, with a best of third at Arnie’s tournament. Finished down in 13th last year after a final round 75. Don’t let that put you off however. Poulter was statistically the straightest driver here last year and also lead the greens in regulation stats. One good week with the putter could yield a win.
Best Of The Rest
Simon Dyson’s (55/1) season has still yet to kick off but the Englishman will be desperate for a Ryder Cup spot and can boost his chances greatly with a good finish here. Showed an improvement at the Open de Espana where he finished 12th and will look forward to a Wentworth course where his woods and irons combined were the statistically best in the field in 2011.
Two recent winners to watch out for here. Francesco Molinari (42/1) may not have great course form at Wentworth but he has been remarkably consistent to date this season with sixth top 20’s before his recent win at the Open de Espana. Another player I will be tracking this week is Austrian Bernd Wiesberger (110/1), impressive winner of the Ballantine’s Championship