Also check out my 2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open Tips here Favourites With Rory McIlroy in at 7/2 and Tiger Woods now stretched out ...
Also check out my 2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open Tips here
With Rory McIlroy in at 7/2 and Tiger Woods now stretched out to 6/1 following his Farmers 79, it looks like the American is the value bet. However I’m going my chance on avoiding these, at least until after round two as I’ve identified some much longer odds each value I think can bring us a profit.
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The Dane found form with a T3 in Qatar, his first top 15 in six events. He also tied third here last year, unable to catch Gallacher on a blustery final day. You have to think there’s so much to come from Thor; it’s two years since his Sicilian Open win. We need to enjoy him while we can, he's off to the Northern Trust Open on his PGA Tour odyssey in two weeks.
Another man out there at 90/1, and wrongly so in my opinion, is Spain’s Alejandro Canizares. He tied fifth last week and but for a third round of 73, could have finished even higher. Has been very impressive since the 2013 Omega Masters where he finished fourth in the mountains, missing only one cut in 11 events since. Consider also a Spanish roll of honour at this event that includes Cabrera Bello, Quiros, Jimenez, Olazabal and Seve himself and he’s definitely worthy of consideration.
Scott Jamieson 150/1 gets his 2014 underway this week. First start since the Nelson Mandela where his defence of the title more or less ended after an opening 73. However two good rounds of 65 and 66 helped him climb to 23rd in the rain shortened event. Tied for fifth here in 2012 and worth tracking from very long odds.
Favourites
With Rory McIlroy in at 7/2 and Tiger Woods now stretched out to 6/1 following his Farmers 79, it looks like the American is the value bet. However I’m going my chance on avoiding these, at least until after round two as I’ve identified some much longer odds each value I think can bring us a profit.
Follow @golfcentraldoc
Rafael Cabrera Bello 25/1
When he’s not pumping iron in the gym, Rafa plays the occasional game of golf and he’s not half bad. Followed a tied fourth in Abu Dhabi with a tied third last week in Qatar where he ranked second in GIR. When you also consider the Spaniard edged out Stephen Gallacher for the win here in 2012, those odds of 25/1 are quite inviting.Thorbjorn Olesen 28/1
The Dane found form with a T3 in Qatar, his first top 15 in six events. He also tied third here last year, unable to catch Gallacher on a blustery final day. You have to think there’s so much to come from Thor; it’s two years since his Sicilian Open win. We need to enjoy him while we can, he's off to the Northern Trust Open on his PGA Tour odyssey in two weeks.Peter Uihlein 66/1
Fits the mould cast by Alvaro Quiros when he won here in 2011. Uihlein missed the cut in Abu Dhabi but played a little more like he can in coming 16th in Qatar. He finished with a driving distance clip of 305.8 yards, second in the rankings and also finished in the top 10 combined putting stats. With more room off the tee at Emirates GC, I’m really looking forward to watching Uihlein this week; I consider those odds of 66/1 very generous for the 2013 Madeira Islands Open winner.Richard Sterne 90/1
Even by his own admission in interviews Stephen Gallacher got every break going during the 2013 staging of this event yet Richard Sterne kept him honest all the way in finishing second. The problem with the talented South African however is nailing down exactly when he’s going to play well. Bookies have him at 90/1 after missing the cut in Qatar, but this event in 2013, plus the 2013 Joburg Open the following week which he won, represented the peak of Sterne’s season and I’m sure he’ll be trying to replicate that form again this year. Each way or to finish in the top 10 at odds of 9/1 of thereabouts.Alejandro Canizares 90/1
Another man out there at 90/1, and wrongly so in my opinion, is Spain’s Alejandro Canizares. He tied fifth last week and but for a third round of 73, could have finished even higher. Has been very impressive since the 2013 Omega Masters where he finished fourth in the mountains, missing only one cut in 11 events since. Consider also a Spanish roll of honour at this event that includes Cabrera Bello, Quiros, Jimenez, Olazabal and Seve himself and he’s definitely worthy of consideration. Long Odds Glory Bets
Marcus Fraser 125/1 may not have the formline, but he demonstrated in 2013 with a T5 that he has the course management skills to get it around the Emirates Course. Drove the ball arrow straight and owned the greens finishing third in the putting stats.Scott Jamieson 150/1 gets his 2014 underway this week. First start since the Nelson Mandela where his defence of the title more or less ended after an opening 73. However two good rounds of 65 and 66 helped him climb to 23rd in the rain shortened event. Tied for fifth here in 2012 and worth tracking from very long odds.
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