2015 Nordea Masters Betting Tips, Predictions and Power Rankings

Nordea Masters, PGA Sweden National, Malmö, Sweden



Favourites

Henrik Stenson is quoted at Rory-esque odds of 4/1 for his home open.  T58 last time out at Quail Hollow; top 20 ish at the Players and Masters and second at Bay Hill before that.  Played in the final group last year but could only manage fifth. Joost Luiten is second favourite at 18/1. He was T11 at Wentworth last time out but didn’t play on this course last year.  The best value in this category for me is Thongchai Jaidee at 20/1.   The defending champion is out at 20/1 thanks to home favourite Henrik Stenson who assumes the favourite tag at an incredible 4/1.  Thongchai added another T10 at the Irish Open last week to his T2 at Wentworth and looks like excellent value for another great week.

Doc’s Top 5 To Watch

Felipe Aguilar 100/1

Two top 10’s on his last three visits to Sweden and a guy I think can do the business here.  If Felipe gets that putter working!  A final round 78 at the Irish Open last week took the gloss off another good greens in regulation week as he had at Wentworth and in Spain before that.  The Chilean is hitting more greens in regulation than pretty much anyone of late; all it takes is something to click on the greens and we have a winner.  Even top-5 at his way overpriced odds of 100/1 each way would be a nice touch!

Rafa Cabrera Bello 25/1

It was a case of so near and yet so far for the Spaniard on a links again last week as he missed out on winning the Irish Open at Royal County Down just as he had done at Portrush in 2012.  Nevertheless Rafa’s T4 was a welcome return to form after a dismal spell and comes just in time for a tilt at the Nordea Masters which for once stays at the same venue.  Rafa was T9 here in 2014 finishing second in the greens in regulation stats.  Big chances.

Emiliano Grillo 25/1

Fourth appearance now for Emiliano and he continues to impress.  He has come close to winning in Puerto Rico (lost in a playoff to Alex Cejka), China and Spain already this season; surely it’s only a matter of time.  T30 last week at Royal County Down for the Argentinian. 

Max Kieffer  40/1

Another T8 at the Irish Open for Max to go along with top 10’s in Spain and Africa.  In fact the German hasn’t missed a single cut all season averaging over €20,000 per week.  Finished just outside the top-10 here last year and looks a sure bet to be in the mix again.



Eddie Pepperell 35/1

I didn’t have the courage to back Eddie at 250/1 last week prior to the Irish Open even though I knew he was playing well.  This week he’s at 35/1 and after contesting a playoff at RCD must be full of confidence for the week ahead.  To go 67, 69 for the weekend in horrendous conditions was fantastic and a T2 finish will do nicely for retaining his card.  Eddie was tied for the lead after three rounds here last year and finished T6.

Long Odds Glory Shots

Robert Karlsson 60/1 looked super to me on the range at the Irish Open then missed the cut!  He always seems to do well at his home open though. T6 in 2014
Thomas Pieters 125/1 has done nothing really since his T4 in Abu Dhabi but this is more the kind of track he should like.

Mikael Lundberg at 250/1 is a guy I might just a little flutter on myself this week.  A bit like Anthony Wall; when he needs money he just goes out and gets some!

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