2017 Tour Championship Betting Preview and Tips

September 21st – 24th, 2017
East Lake G.C., Atlanta, Georgia
Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,385
Purse: $8.75 million with $1,575,000 to the winner
2016 Champion: Rory McIlroy

The 2017 Tour Championship and the last 30 men standing head to the difficult East Lake in Atlanta to battle it out one last time.  As you might expect in a limited field, value from the bookies is hard to find with one major firm having Spieth Johnson Fowler Rahm Thomas and Day all at or below odds of 10/1.  Our job as always is to find EACH WAY value that will pay out for a top-5 finish.

Doc's Top 5 Each Way Bets At The Tour Championship

Justin Rose 14/1

There's no better shot in the arm for a golfer than some great driving and irons to set up birdies.  And it seems Rosey got his driver back on track at the Dell Champs where he matched his T10 finish from the Northern Trust Open.  Then came another leap forward at Conway Farms last week where Rose was T6 in driving accuracy and T1 in Greens In Regulation with 57 found on his way to a T2 finish.  Didn't  play here last year but from 2015 back he's T2, T4, T6, 2nd; in other words Justin Rose is in form and loves this place!

Brooks Koepka 22/1

With all the guys listed at the top battling it out for the Fed Ex Cup Brooks Koepka has gone largely under the radar.  But he hasn't gone away you know!  Winner of the US Open and no worse than 13th in all four Majors this year is a super return and a T12 last week at the BMW was a shot across the bows of all the others.  The anatomy of that result was an ever improving 71, 70, 69 and 63 to finish with an average driving distance of 328.9 yards.  I wont say power driving is the key to unlocking East Lake but the great ones always have a way of showing up when it counts.

Kevin Chappell 33/1

Lost in a playoff in his debut here last year but Kevin Chappell has found his way back in again after a solid season.  KC is on my shortlist of "players who play tough courses well" and with the average winning score being -11 at East Lake over the last four years I'd say this qualifies as one.   Four top 15's in his last six starts and a T12 at the BMW saw some solid GIR stats undone by struggles on the par-3's.  Chappell however hit a field topping 57 greens at East Lake on his debut last year and he's in the form to be up there again this time around.

Paul Casey 20/1

A sense of duty has me sticking with Paul Casey this week after his bubble finally burst with a T33 at the BMW.  That ended a terrific run of six consecutive top 15's including four top-10's but   you know what? Even without that form Casey would be on everyone's short list at East Lake; he's been here in 2016, 2015 and 2010 and finished 4th, T5, T4.  Was last week just a blip? I think Casey has been good for our winnings total this year and gets my vote of confidence one more time! But does he get yours?

Webb Simpson 50/1

This for me is one of the comeback stories of the year.  Here's a guy who made his money with a broomhandle putter, fell when it was banned, yet has somehow adapted and climbed back to the top where the strength of game is……yes you've guessed it…..putting.  Form wise of late Webb has gone 3rd at the Wyndham, T6 at the Northern Trust, a poor Dell but a bounceback T9 at the BMW which included a poor second round.  Back in the good ole days of the long putter at the Tour Championship Webb finished T5 in 2013 and solo 4th in 2014 and I think he's back to that level at some super odds this year.

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