2018 Scottish Open Betting Preview And Tips

July 12th – 15th, 2018
Gullane G.C., Gullane, East Lothian, Scotland
Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,133
Purse: $7 million with $1,166,660 to the winner
Defending Champion: Rafael Cabrera-Bello

Favourite Discussion:

After a brilliant week in Ireland, the (also rotating) Scottish Open returns to Gullane which last hosted in 2015.  Winner then Rickie Fowler tops the betting at 10/1 alongside Justin Rose with  last week's champion Russell Know now 20/1.  Winning does take a mental toll but Knox still looks the value bet in the win-only market given his putting performance last week and the need to perform especially well with the flatstick to contend at Gullane.

As always however my strategy is Each-Way betting.
Last week: Russell Knox Winner 30/1, Andy Sullivan T6 28/1

Doc's Top 5 Scottish Open Each Way Bets

Tip 1: Raphael Jacquelin 125/1

Rapha is a smooth operator.

Not every course suits the smooth swinging Frenchman so he has to make hay while the sun shines as they say during this links stretch.  Really impressed me at Ballyliffin last week with a cerebral approach to hitting 56 greens in regulation to score a T10.  That's two Top-10's in his last four starts and Rapha has a rich Scottish Open pedigree including a T2 at this venue Gullane in 2015. (At time of writing Rapha is 125/1; I have people saying 'where do you get these odds' and what happens is the bookies trim them when my tips are published. So here's the ticker sheet with the odds below)

Tip 2: Tyrrell Hatton 20/1

Ricky's bro Tyrrell.

What a turnaround in form it has been for Tyrell.  After some early season scores in Dubai and Mexico he went through the horrors before class prevailed with a T6 at the US Open and T16 in France last time out.  T4 in this event and 2nd at Castle Stuart in 2016 and given Hatton has won the last two stagings of the Alfred Dunhill Links this is a no brainer for a man in form.

Tip 3: Andy Sullivan 28/1

Remember when Sully won the fake trip to space!!

Got to stick with Andy after he again scored a place reduction at the Irish Open with another T6 finish.  The anatomy of last week was a T2 in fairways hit and T5 in Greens In Regulation and while a hot putter might be more needed at Gullane I still think Sully has a chance. That's now Dubai, Morocco, Sicily, Italy, Germany AND Ireland where Andy has had top-10's so keep the faith. T9 last year at Dundonald and T6 in 2016 at Castle Stuart.

Tip 4: Ryan Fox 50/1

Bummer to have an All Black as a Dad!

Was absolutely sick that I left him off my betslip last week but the bludgeoning Kiwi gets the nod to come into the team for Scotland.  Foxy's tactic is clear; batter the ball as far as possible on links and see what happens. It worked in Ireland now two years in a row (lost a playoff to Russell Knox last week) and he'll have fond memories of a T4 at Dundonald last year also.

Tip 5:  Dylan Frittelli 66/1

No wimbledon this year for Dylan.

Erik Van Rooyen grabbed all the headlines at the Irish Open last week but it was another South African Dylan Fritteli that really impressed me.  A T14 there added to his T12 in France and I'm sure he'll give you a run for your money this week if backed.

Long Odds Glory Shots

I keep getting asked to expand this Long Odds section and there is a tonne of value here again this week.  Here's a few that caught my eye.

Joakim Lagergren 100/1
Didn't happen for Joakim in Ireland last week and maybe playing in the final group on Sunday took it's toll as he slipped to a T12 finish.  However for his first week back on links I was super impressed with the Swede and given he's been right up there also at the least three Dunhill Links Championships, he can continue to do well in Scotland this week.  Won in Sicily this year and could come good again.

Danny Willett 100/1
I simply cannot believe that the bookies have Danny at 100/1 this week after he added to his T8 in Italy with a T6 in Ballyliffin last week.  The comeback is complete; belief is there. 100/1 are some mighty odds.

Mathieu Pavon 150/1
Cameo's at the Irish Open with an opening pair of 68's but slipped to T10 by the finish.  Third at Dundonald last year and well worth plotting his progression this week.

David Drysdale (250/1)  and Marc Warren (200/1) are among the home players this week and are crazy long odds.  David battled his way his a T28 at Ballyliffin and Marc was T4 at Gullane the last time it staged in 2015

Here's the odds at time of writing using oddschecker (no affiliation)

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