Rory McIlroy is head and shoulders the best player in the world at the moment but if he wins the BMW PGA Championship this week I will eat my hat!

It will take a mammoth effort for McIlroy to defend the title. This time last year a teary Rory entered the event at the very last minute using it as an inside the ropes distraction to get away from everyone following his breakup with Caroline Wozniacki.

Related: Amazing Home Video Of 65 Year Old Hogan Nailing Drives In His Friend's Back Garden

So why do I think he wont win given his form at Quail Hollow and the fact that he defends?

First I think Rory doesn't like Wentworth. He has admitted it does not suit his eye and prior to winning last year he had missed the cut in 2013 and 2012.  He also missed the cut on his debut in 2008 and though he did finish 5th in 2009, he was tied 48th in 2010 and Tied 24th in 2011.  So yes he did win last year, but his overall record at the venue is not good.

Second is his preparation. I mean there was none.  Since winning at Quail Hollow I have seen Rory

I'm even exhausted writing that. What about jetlag?

I hope Rory wins, but if he does I'll eat my hat and video it!

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