2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview And Tips

Waste Management Phoenix Open, January 29 – February 1, 2015,  TPC of Scottsdale, Scottsdale, Ariz.
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,266,  Purse: $6.3 million, with $1,134,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Kevin Stadler (not playing)

Related: Also check out my 2015 Dubai Desert Classic Tips here.

Favourite
           
Bubba Watson 14/1

Absolutely justified for Bubba to head the betting here given that there’s little to no chance of water on the clubface in the desert!  Seriously though, Bubba is due a win in Phoenix having had two top-5’s in his last three starts here (2014/T2, 2013/15, 2012/T5).  Better still, in 30 career rounds in Scottsdale, he has never finished over par.  Bubba’s formline is super too; that 10th at the Tournament Of Champions was his first start since winning the WGC HSBC Champions.  Great odds for a favourite.

Doc’s Top Five To Watch

Brendan Steele 40/1

 My big tip this week is Brendan Steele. T2 at the Humana last week, Steele brings form to Phoenix where he has three top-6 finishes in four appearances (T6/2014 & 2013, T5/2012).  Tied sixth last year even with a Friday 74, finishing with excellent putting stats.  Recent winners have done it with the flat stick in Scottsdale; it all points me to Steele.

Scott Piercy 45/1

Piercy is enjoying a fine streak on the PGA Tour with five top-30’s in his last six starts.  A pair of weekend 66’s at the Sony Open led to a solo second there and he comes to the Stadium Course with five top-15’s in his six appearances at the event.  Best of a solo third here in 2013 when he finished with a 61.  Always contends thanks to length off the tee and having these greens figured.

Ryan Palmer 33/1

Tipped Ryan last week and though he shot 61 on Friday and was in touch after three rounds, faded to a T10.  Spoke about working very hard on his wedges in the off season and there will be a lot of those in hand this week on this 7,266 yard par 71.  Best of solo fifth in 2013, if he can keep his form from last week, Palmer can go well.

Phil Mickelson 20/1

Phil got his season underway with a T24 last week at The Humana and afterwards spoke about fine tuning his game.  That’s significant heading to Phoenix where he has won three times since 1996.  The last win came in 2013 when he led wire to wire, hit more greens than anyone and was T10 in putting stats.  I think Lefty is lining this one up for a tilt.  Would love to see him and Tiger contend again.

Justin Thomas 40/1

Statistically in form players tend to finish high on the Phoenix leaderboard and Justin Thomas falls into that category.  His 20 Tournament old PGA Tour career got off to a rocky start with a run of missed cuts but three top-7 finishes in his last four starts including the Humana and Sony are signalling a turnaround in form.  Very impressed with his mental strength last week too.

Injury Report
Ryan Moore 50/1 has three top-6’s since 2009 in Phoenix but withdrew at the halfway point last week at Humana with a sore neck.

Long Odds Glory

Not in my top five but there’s plenty of long odds glory shots out there that you can make a case for.  Shawn Stefani’s T15 at the Humana was very impressive given his first round of 75 was followed by a 66, 63 and 67.  He also finished T6 at the Sony Open.  He’s at 80/1.
Brandt Snedeker 80/1 finished second to Phil two years back and has the putting game to contend here.  Missed the cut last week but had two top 10’s before that at the WGC HSBC and Shriners.
Kevin Na 80/1 has three career top fives in Phoenix.
 
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