Jordan Spieth hasn't a snowballs chance in hell of winning The Open. There, I said it.

1. Links Experience

T36 and T44 in just two Open appearances is less than inspiring.  I know Jordan has won the Masters and at Chambers Bay convincingly but links golf is different.  Phil's had four looks and still cannot figure it out.

Related: 2015 Open Championship Betting Preview and Tips

2. Preparation

Jordan hasn't played on links in the build up. Contrast him to Rickie Fowler to came over to the wickedly tough Royal County Down for the Irish Open and returned to play the Scottish Open last week. Fail to prepare, prepare to fail.

3. Jet Lag/Exhaustion

I know Jordan's young but even he must be feeling tired after all his media commitments at the John Deere, getting the Edinburgh charter and then fulfilling all the demands on his time at The Open. I thought he looked out of it at his press conference. Jet lag and the climate change has to be a factor.

Related: Doc's 2015 Open Ultimate Betting Cheat Sheet

4. Course/Weather

A lusher greener more receptive St Andrews makes it more scorable for a bigger chunk of the field. Also it looks like Spieth will be out in the worst of the conditions in his second round.  The combination could bring more players into the reckoning this week.

5. Driving

Jordan's weakness is driving accuracy.  You didn't need it in Chambers Bay and you sure don't need it at Augusta.  It's going to be vital here.  Bombers like Dustin can carry much of the trouble, but it's all in play for Spieth.

I hope I'm wrong but that's my take.

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