Favourite Discussion

All eyes are on Jordan Spieth at 11/2 this week but he doesn’t drive it straight enough for my liking to be that price at Firestone.  I much prefer Adam Scott in this slot at 14/1.  The Aussie has four top-15’s since 2010 including his win in 2011 and topped the putting stats here last year en route to T8.  With the forecast set to be wet, a soft course should play right into Scott’s mega hitting driving game and with greens flat and easy by tour standards his frailties won’t be exposed.

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Doc’s Top Five To Watch

Justin Rose 16/1

It just wouldn’t be right to leave Rosey out of my top five, but read on because it’s not so cut and dried.  Rose comes in this week off a T4 at the Quicken Loans and T6 before that at The Open so we know he’s in form.  He’s been top five here in two out of the last three years; T5 in 2012 when he topped the GIR stats and T4 in 2014.  So what’s the problem?  Justin just cannot seem to get that of these greens! Even though he went under par for the par-3’s, 4’s and 5’s last year Rose needed 116 putts for the week; that about top 50 in putting.  I’m gambling that the softer conditions will play into his hands this year and Rose will win by a street!

Sergio Garcia 28/1

Garcia came haring through the field to finish solo sixth in Switzerland last time out to back up his recent T6 at The Open.  Many analysts reckoned that Firestone can custom made for Garcia but it wasn’t until last year when he finished solo second behind Rory McIlroy that he showed he could really contend on this par 70 course which requires straight driving and good irons.  As with Scott, the flatter Firestone greens are a great equalizer for Garcia who I think will be right in the mix this week.

Zach Johnson 33/1

Plenty of value this week for Zach Johnson who the bookies reckon will be still in Open Championship hangover mode.  The big issue for Johnson is the 7400 yard par 70 layout but there’s far more going for him than against.  Finished T6 in 2011 and T4 in 2013 and comes into the week as one of the straightest drivers on the PGA Tour this season as well being right up there in par-4 birdie conversion.  If he putts like he has been doing recently Zach can score another place finish here.

Brooks Koepka 40/1

On a very tidy run since finishing T3 at the St Jude.  T18 in Canada last time out after a T10 at The Open, T22 at The Scottish and T18 at the US Open.  Brooks is a debutant this week and traditionally experience is needed to win at Firestone but I just feel the soft conditions and his big hitting game will mean lots of birdie opportunities. Just needs one great week with the putter and these greens might all that.

Marc Leishman 50/1

Really likeable guy who is beginning to get the knack of contending in big events after getting to the playoff in the Open Championship last month. Led after day one here last year and stayed third for the next three rounds ranking top 15 in Driving Distance, Greens Hit and Putting.  More striking for me though was Leishman going -5 for just the par-3’s, three of which of which are over 200 yards long.  Well worth an each way look from great odds.

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