The 5 best each-way betting tips at the 2023 Memorial Tournament.
2023 Memorial Tournament Betting Tips
Muirfield Village G.C., Dubin, Ohio
Par: 72 / Yardage: 7,533
Purse: $20 million with $3.6 Million to the winner
Defending Champion: Billy Horschel
Doc's 5 Best Each Way Betting Tips
Patrick Cantlay 10/1
Winner in 2019 and 2021 and T3 defending last year. Recovered brilliantly from a first round of +4 to finish with a 66 and T9th at the PGA Championship, ranking 1st in fairways hit and T3 in greens in regulation. A win is surely coming.
Adam Scott 50/1
Top 10's at the Byron Nelson and Wells Fargo going into the PGA Championship but Adam lost his way after a super first round to finish T29. The perfect ball striking fit on paper for Muirfield Village and indeed has four career top-10's here with the most recent a solo second in 2019. In the form to contend again.
Shane Lowry 45/1
Comes in off an excellent battling T12 at Oak Hill and wont be phased by what Jack has in store this week. Seventh appearance at the event with a best of T6 in 2021. I think Shane can secure a place here.
Corey Conners 45/1
T13 last year, hitting a field leading 53 greens in regulation. Looking to bounce back from that 75 in the final round at Oak Hill which dropped him to T12th.
Sahith Theegala 50/1
Off the boil since a top-10 at The Masters and T5 at Hilton Head but worth an each way look here. His T5 at last years Memorial was remarkable after a second round 75.
Long Odds Glory
Denny McCarthy 100/1
Proved you don’t have to hit it long at Memorial to contend when he scored a T5 last year. One of the most consistent all around stats on Tour. Missed the cut at the Charles Schwab last week but don't discount him here. Overpriced.
Stats Crunch
In looking at four key categories and knowing the course is 100% perfect, our first for Muirfield Village is Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green We get this by combining two stats. Last year, Muirfield Village was 39th in Driving Accuracy, T-11th in Driving Distance, and 4th in Greens in Regulation. So our choice of Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green makes sense when you see that last year’s winner Billy Horschel was 1st in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green. The same happened in 2021 when Patrick Cantlay was 1st in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green. In 2020, the winner Jon Rahm was 3rd, and going even further, 2019 champion Patrick Cantlay ranked 2nd; 2018 champion Bryson DeChambeau ranked 12th; 2017 champion Jason Dufner ranked 1st; 2016 winner William McGirt ranked 7th, and 2015 champion David Lingmerth ranked 9th. So this is a great first choice when you consider that out of the last 8 winners, three ranked 1st, and of the eight, seven were in the top ten.
The next important is putting inside 10 feet. Muirfield Village has some great greens, they are only 5,000 square feet but have a lot of undulation, and the bentgrass is easy to read. Still, with the greens running at 12 on the stipmeter, you will do very well if you make a lot of putts in this distance. Last year Muirfield Village ranked 19th as Billy Horscel ranked T-25th making 64 of 71 putts inside ten feet, so to keep up, the winner needs to do well in this category. In 2021 the course ranked 35th easiest, while winner Patrick Cantlay wasn’t that great, ranking 61st as he made 59 of 70 putts in this range. Jon Rahm did much better the year before as he was 11th, completing 65 of 71 putts. 2019 winner Patrick Cantlay was 19th, making 64 of 71 putts. You have to putt well to score well at Muirfield Village. Last year the field made 87.93% of the putts in that distance, so look for players that make lots of putts.
Our third important stat is scrambling; players will miss greens and must get it up and down. The course ranked 14th, while Billy Horsely was 1st. In 2021 Muirfield Village ranked 11th and 1st in 2020, 7th in 2019, 11th in 2018, 2nd in 2017, 14th in 2016, and 13th in 2015. In 2021 Cantlay ranked 6th in scrambling, while Rahm ranked T-3rd in 2020. In 2019 Cantlay ranked 5th, DeChambeau ranked 1st in 2018, Dufner in 2017 was 30th, McGirt ranked 6th in 2016, and Lingmerth was T-9th.
Our last category is birdie average. Last year it ranked 13th, while in 2021, it was T-16th. In 2020 it was 5th, and T-28th in 2019. In 2018 it ranked 42nd; in 2017, it ranked 29th; in 2016, it ranked 48th and in 2015 was 43rd, which means a lot of birdies were made, with the average number of birdies by players being 3.28 last year, 3.30 average in 2021, 2.99 average in 2020 and 3.77 in 2019. For the year 2018, it was 4.02. In 2017 it was 3.61, and 4.24 per round in 2016. So how did our winners do? Horschel wasn’t a birdie machine last year as he made just 15 which ranked T-24th, the worst a winner has ever done at the Memorial. In 2021 Cantlay made 20 birdies and ranked 3rd; in 2020, Rahm made 18 birdies and ranked T-3rd. In 2019 Cantlay made 25 birdies; in 2018 DeChambeau was T-7th; Dufner was T-2nd in 2017, averaging 5.25; McGirt was at 5.00, which ranked T-16th and Lingmerth averaged 5.50 and ranked T-6th.
So we can see that there are many ways to win at Muirfield Village, but you still have to hit the fairways and stay out of the rough. You then have to hit the greens, and if you’re a good putter, you will do well at the Memorial.
*Strokes Gained tee-to-green: The per-round average of the number of strokes the player was better or worse than the field average on the same course & event minus the players’ strokes gained putting value.
*Putting inside 10 feet: Very easy. Count every putt from ten feet in to see who makes the most.
*Scrambling: The percent of the time a player misses the green in regulation but still makes par or better.
*Birdie Average: Average number of birdies made over the course of a round
The top five in those four stats combined
1.Jason Day
2. Patrick Cantlay
3. Tyrrell Hatton
4. Xander Schauffele
5. Scottie Scheffler
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