2018 Valspar Championship Betting Preview And Expert Tips

March 8th – 11th, 2018
Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course), Palm Harbor, Florida
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,340
Purse: $6.5 million with $1,170,000 to the winner
Defending Champion: Adam Hadwin

Last week: Phil Mickelson Winner 22/1

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2018 Valspar Betting Preview and Tips
2018 Valspar Betting Preview and Tips

Favourite Discussion

No surprise really to see Jordan Spieth as heavily fancied 8/1 favourite. His "slump" has actually  included 5 top-20 finishes from six starts and his T14 in Mexico showed serious signs of improved putting.  I never back win only but in this category I would choose Sergio Garcia at 16/1 all day long.  It's his first time back to Palm Harbour since 2013 when he tied seventh but on this tight tree lined and undulating track he'll be at home.  Impressive T7 in Mexico last week and will enjoy the wind and TifEagle Bermuda greens here.

Doc's Top Five Each Way Valspar Bets

Henrik Stenson 20/1

Henrik doesn't try to be cool at home. He just is.

I'm discounting a T60 last time out in Malaysia as strange (sweaty and belly) things happen there and looking more at Henrik's early season 8th in Abu Dhabi and T6 in Dubai for comfort.  The Masters is coming fast on the horizon and this is his chance to build momentum. T7, T11 and 4th on his previous three starts at Copperhead, a course tailor made for his game.

Tony Finau 28/1

Tony Finau. He can dunk. Wearing warm clothes

I'm going to go with Tony Finau this week even if the track is a par-71 tight and tree lined!  That's because it still retains a full set of four par-5's AND Tony went a cumulative -5 for the five par-3's on his way to a solo 5th last year. (I know!!! Who else knows this shit!!!)  He also ranked T2 in Greens in Regulation last year and after recent good showings the Genesis (T2) and Farmers (T6) he can contend.

Kevin Streelman 50/1

Kevin Streelman is straighter than The Rock

Kevin Streelman knows what its like to win at Copperhead and even though the greens have been reseeded since his 2013 victory I think he enters this year in very solid form with a top-20 driving accuracy clip in his last six starts and top-two Greens in Regulation numbers in four of his last six.  Recent best of solo sixth at Pebble.

Related Post: Video: Phil Mickelson's Act Of Sportsmanship To Help Shubhankar Sharma Was Class

Ryan Moore 40/1

Ryan Moore is not reliable and yet I tip him!

Treat this one with caution. Because Ryan Moore has been my rasher pick (streaky) over the years who has flummoxed me on more than one occasion. For instance last time out at The Honda, nobody drove it straighter OR found more greens than Ryan who then took 128 putts and finished T45th! And this after a T9 at Riviera when plenty dropped!  Two top-fives from his last three visits to Palm Harbor says he makes my five. If he practised his putting!

Byeong Hun An 40/1

Ben An. His caddie Dan is handsome enough for both of them!

Ben didn't do well on his debut at Copperhead (T49th) last year but comes in rested this year after a T5 at The Honda which included a weekend 69, 65 and an excellent putting performance.  A T23 in Phoenix and T6 in Dubai and team Ben and Dan are on track for a big week.

Long Odds Glory Shots

Stricks. Still cool.

Steve Stricker 66/1 plays on the big boy Tour this week after winning the Coolgaurd Classic on the Seniors version last Sunday. Loves Copperhead and if Phil can win aged 47 who's to say a confident Stricks can't place.

When Charles Howell 80/1 wants money he just goes out and gets some! He has four career top-10's at Copperhead and looks super odds.

Dominic Bozzelli 125/1 might not be a household name but he was T3 here last year and has improved in his last starts from a T26 at Riviera to a T13 at Palm Beach Gardens.

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